HomeNewsHeat vs Hornets Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 3/23/2025

Heat vs Hornets Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 3/23/2025

Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets matchup, our predictive model gives the Hornets a 53.33% chance of defeating the Heat.

Charlotte Hornets: 53.33% win probability

Better recent form (LWLLW vs Heat's LLLLL)
Higher scoring efficiency (7408 points in 70 games vs Heat's 7629 in 70 games)
More consistent defensive performance (7972 points against vs Heat's 7750 with similar games played)

Miami Heat: 46.67% win probability

Poor recent form (Five straight losses - LLLLL)
Struggling offense (Averaging only 109 points per game, third-lowest in Eastern Conference)
Declining performance trend (29-41 record, dropped to 10th in Eastern Conference)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Miami Heat host the Charlotte Hornets at home on Sunday, March 23.

	Miami Heat	Charlotte Hornets
Moneyline	-155 (via bet365 US)	+142 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets preview

The Heat's recent nosedive has turned what should've been a routine home game into a fascinating matchup against the struggling Hornets at Kaseya Center.

Miami's offense has hit rock bottom during their 10-game skid, barely cracking 110 points once in that stretch, while their usually reliable defense hasn't been enough to stop the bleeding.

The Hornets, despite their rough season, have shown surprising fight lately, going 4-4 in their last eight and even snagging a win in their last visit to Miami.

Keep an eye on Andrew Wiggins, who's been a rare bright spot for the Heat, coming off a 30-point performance on efficient 10-of-13 shooting against Houston.

Charlotte's defense has quietly become their saving grace, ranking 10th in three-point defense and managing to keep Miami under 102 points in their recent matchups.

The potential absence of Miami's stars Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro could swing this one, with Herro particularly struggling lately - his last outing saw him shoot a miserable 3-of-11 with six turnovers.

These teams' recent meetings have been surprisingly low-scoring affairs, with neither squad breaking 106 points in any of their three matchups this season.

With Miami's offense sputtering and Charlotte's defensive improvements, this Sunday evening clash might not be the mismatch it appears on paper.

Key stats

1
Miami Heat sit 10th in Eastern Conference with 29-41 record while Hornets rank 14th at 18-52
2
Heat have lost their last 5 games (LLLLL) compared to Hornets' mixed form (LWLLW)
3
Miami's offense averages 109 points per game vs Charlotte's 106, showing slight scoring edge
4
Heat maintain better defensive numbers, allowing 110.7 points per game compared to Hornets' 113.9