The surging San Antonio Spurs head into Toronto riding a two-game win streak despite missing stars Victor Wembanyama and De'Aaron Fox, with their young core stepping up to deliver impressive road victories against playoff contenders.
The Raptors, who've dropped three straight and will be without Immanuel Quickley and Jakob Poeltl due to rest, aim to recapture the magic that led to their five-game win streak earlier this month.
The Spurs look to repeat their dominant February performance when they crushed the Raptors 122-99 at Scotiabank Arena, as the home team faces an uphill battle with a depleted roster against San Antonio's red-hot offense that's averaging 122.5 points over their last ten games.
Toronto Raptors vs. San Antonio Spurs prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs matchup, our predictive model gives the Spurs a 70% chance of defeating the Raptors.
San Antonio Spurs: 70% win probability
- Better recent form (WWLWL compared to Raptors' LLLWW)
- Higher scoring efficiency (7896 goals for in 69 games vs Raptors' 7747 in 70 games)
- Superior defensive record (8040 goals against vs Raptors' 8104)
Toronto Raptors: 30% win probability
- Poor win-loss record (24-46, third-worst in Eastern Conference)
- Struggling offense (110.7 points per game, ranking bottom 5 in the league)
- Negative momentum with recent form LLLWW showing inconsistency
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Toronto Raptors vs. San Antonio Spurs odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Toronto Raptors host the San Antonio Spurs at home on Sunday, March 23.
| Toronto Raptors | San Antonio Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -106 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | -105 (via bet365 US) |
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Toronto Raptors vs. San Antonio Spurs preview
The struggling Raptors host a surging Spurs squad at Scotiabank Arena in what's shaping up to be an intriguing cross-conference clash, despite both teams sitting outside the playoff picture.
San Antonio's coming in hot with back-to-back wins over the Knicks and Sixers, showing impressive resilience even without stars Victor Wembanyama and De'Aaron Fox in the lineup.
The young Spurs have found their offensive groove lately, putting up 122.5 points per game over their last ten outings, though their defense has been a bit leaky, giving up 124 points per contest in that span.
Toronto's had a rough go of it lately, dropping three straight against Western Conference opponents, and they'll be further handicapped with Immanuel Quickley and Jakob Poeltl sitting this one out.
Keep an eye on Scottie Barnes, who's been a bright spot for the Raptors, fresh off a 29-point, 10-rebound performance against Golden State.
The Spurs' Jeremy Sochan has stepped up admirably in Wembanyama's absence, coming off a 23-point showing against Philadelphia where he nearly grabbed a double-double.
San Antonio's dominated this matchup historically with a 36-20 record against Toronto, including a convincing 122-99 road win in their last meeting just over a month ago.
With interim coach Mitch Johnson at the helm while Pop recovers from health issues, the Spurs' young core seems to be finding their identity at just the right time.
Key stats
- 1Spurs (13th West) and Raptors (11th East) both struggle near bottom of standings with 30 wins each
- 2Spurs show better recent form with 3 wins in last 5 (WWLWL) vs Raptors' cold streak (LLLWW)
- 3Toronto's offense lags with 7747 points scored vs San Antonio's 7896, despite playing one fewer game
- 4Both teams display similar defensive woes - Raptors allow 8104 points while Spurs concede 8040
Toronto Raptors vs. San Antonio Spurs form
Toronto Raptors vs. San Antonio Spurs head to head
Toronto Raptors
80%
San Antonio Spurs
20%
Mar 23, 2025
Toronto Raptors
0 : 0
San Antonio Spurs
Jul 21, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
100 : 89
Toronto Raptors
Feb 13, 2024
Toronto Raptors
99 : 122
San Antonio Spurs
Nov 5, 2023
San Antonio Spurs
116 : 123
Toronto Raptors
Feb 9, 2023
Toronto Raptors
112 : 98
San Antonio Spurs
Nov 3, 2022
San Antonio Spurs
100 : 143
Toronto Raptors
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