The Denver Nuggets welcome back MVP Nikola Jokic from his ankle injury just in time for a crucial matchup against a surging Chicago Bulls squad that's fresh off dropping 146 points on the Lakers.

While the Nuggets aim to solidify their position in the Western Conference's top three, the Bulls bring their explosive offense - ranked sixth in NBA scoring - to Ball Arena, setting up what could be a high-scoring showdown given both teams' defensive struggles this season.

The home team Nuggets, leading the NBA in field goal percentage, look to leverage their size advantage and Jokic's court vision against an away team Bulls defense that's allowing the second-most points in the league.

Denver Nuggets vs. Chicago Bulls prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls matchup, our predictive model gives the Nuggets a 69.33% chance of defeating the Bulls.

Denver Nuggets: 69.33% win probability

  • Elite offensive output (8691 points scored, highest in Western Conference)
  • Strong win record (45 wins in 72 games, 3rd in Western Conference)
  • Home court advantage (7-3 better home record than Bulls' away record)

Chicago Bulls: 30.67% win probability

  • Poor defensive record (8502 points against, 4th worst in Eastern Conference)
  • Inconsistent road performance (31-40 overall record, bottom half of East)
  • Scoring differential issues (-185 point differential on the season)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Denver Nuggets vs. Chicago Bulls odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Denver Nuggets host the Chicago Bulls at home on Monday, March 24.

Denver NuggetsChicago Bulls
Moneyline-168 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)+145 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)

Best NBA sportsbook promos

Start OddsCheckerWidget (lazyOnload)
End OddsCheckerWidget (lazyOnload)

Denver Nuggets vs. Chicago Bulls preview

The Denver Nuggets are getting a massive boost with MVP Nikola Jokic's return to the lineup after a four-game absence, just in time for Monday's clash with the Chicago Bulls at Ball Arena.

Chicago's coming in hot off an eye-popping 146-point explosion against the Lakers, with Cody White dropping 36 and Josh Giddey flirting with a quadruple-double - but they'll face a much different beast in Denver's league-leading offense.

The contrast in styles here is fascinating: Chicago's been lighting it up from beyond the arc (ranking third in three-pointers made), while Denver's been dominating inside thanks to their league-best field goal percentage.

The Joker's return couldn't come at a better time for Denver, who've struggled to a 1-2 record without their floor general and desperately need to maintain their position in the tight Western Conference playoff race.

While the Bulls' offense has been clicking lately, winning seven of their last ten, their 29th-ranked defense could be in serious trouble against Denver's precision attack.

Aaron Gordon's been holding down the fort in Jokic's absence, including a recent 26-point performance, but he'll gladly slide back into his natural role with the big Serbian running the show.

With both teams ranking in the NBA's top-8 for scoring margin and turnover margin, expect a fast-paced showdown that'll test Chicago's shaky defense against Denver's surgical offense.

The Nuggets' home court advantage at Ball Arena, combined with Jokic's return and their push for Western Conference positioning, sets up what should be a compelling Monday night matchup.

Key stats

  • 1
    Nuggets sit 3rd in Western Conference with 45-27 record while Bulls hold 9th in Eastern at 31-40
  • 2
    Denver's offense outperforms Chicago significantly, scoring 8691 points vs Bulls' 8317 this season
  • 3
    Nuggets showing inconsistent form with WLLWL in last 5 games compared to Bulls' WWLWL streak
  • 4
    Denver maintains better defensive efficiency, allowing 8412 points through 72 games versus Chicago's 8502 in 71 games

Denver Nuggets vs. Chicago Bulls form

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Latest matches
W
L
L
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 23, 2025
Houston Rockets111:116Denver Nuggets
Mar 22, 2025
Portland Trail Blazers128:109Denver Nuggets
Mar 20, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers120:108Denver Nuggets
Mar 18, 2025
Golden State Warriors105:114Denver Nuggets
Mar 16, 2025
Washington Wizards126:123Denver Nuggets
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 23, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers115:146Chicago Bulls
Mar 21, 2025
Sacramento Kings116:128Chicago Bulls
Mar 20, 2025
Phoenix Suns127:121Chicago Bulls
Mar 18, 2025
Utah Jazz97:111Chicago Bulls
Mar 16, 2025
Houston Rockets117:114Chicago Bulls

Denver Nuggets vs. Chicago Bulls head to head

Denver Nuggets

67%

Chicago Bulls

33%

Jan 28, 2025

Chicago Bulls

129 : 121

Denver Nuggets

Dec 13, 2023

Chicago Bulls

106 : 114

Denver Nuggets

Nov 5, 2023

Denver Nuggets

123 : 101

Chicago Bulls

Oct 16, 2023

Denver Nuggets

116 : 102

Chicago Bulls

Oct 13, 2023

Chicago Bulls

133 : 124

Denver Nuggets

Mar 9, 2023

Denver Nuggets

96 : 117

Chicago Bulls