The surging Indiana Pacers, winners of four straight and fresh off a sweep of Brooklyn, welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves to Gainbridge Fieldhouse in what promises to be an explosive matchup between two playoff-caliber teams.

While Indiana's high-octane offense (116.6 PPG) squares off against Minnesota's lockdown defense (ranked 6th in the NBA), the recent 132-130 thriller between these teams suggests we're in for another barn-burner.

The Pacers look to build on their home court advantage and recent victory over the Timberwolves, as Pascal Siakam's squad faces off against Anthony Edwards and the visiting Minnesota team in this compelling interconference showdown.

Indiana Pacers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves matchup, our predictive model gives the Pacers a 61.5% chance of defeating the Wolves.

Indiana Pacers: 61.5% win probability

  • Superior offensive efficiency (116.6 points per game, 4th in Eastern Conference)
  • Strong home court performance (23-12 home record this season)
  • Better recent form (WWWWL compared to Wolves' WLLWW)

Minnesota Timberwolves: 38.5% win probability

  • Inconsistent road performance (18-19 away record)
  • Lower scoring output (113.7 points per game compared to Pacers' 116.6)
  • Defensive struggles (109.2 points allowed per game, middle of the pack in Western Conference)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Indiana Pacers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Minnesota Timberwolves head to Indiana to face the home team Pacers on Monday, March 24.

Indiana PacersMinnesota Timberwolves
Moneyline-125 (via bet365 US)+110 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

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Indiana Pacers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves preview

The red-hot Indiana Pacers welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves to Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Monday night, with both teams looking to strengthen their playoff positions in their respective conferences.

Indiana's been on an absolute tear lately, riding a four-game winning streak and showing why they're one of the league's most potent offensive units - their 48.9% field goal percentage ranks third in the NBA.

Pascal Siakam's been a force for the Pacers, coming off a stellar 26-point performance against Brooklyn, while the T-Wolves counter with Anthony Edwards, who's been putting up monster numbers with 27.5 points per game.

These teams just met last week in Minnesota, where the Pacers snapped the Timberwolves' six-game series win streak in a high-scoring 132-130 thriller.

The contrast in styles makes this matchup fascinating - Indiana's high-octane offense (116.6 points per game) goes head-to-head with Minnesota's lockdown defense (ranked 6th, allowing just 109.2 points).

The T-Wolves' recent offensive surge - averaging nearly 124 points in their last ten games - suggests we might see another shootout.

Keep an eye on the paint battle between Rudy Gobert's defensive presence and the Pacers' Myles Turner, who's been solid with 15.6 points and 1.9 blocks per game.

With both teams at full strength and fighting for playoff positioning, this interconference clash has all the makings of another nail-biter in Indianapolis.

Key stats

  • 1
    Indiana Pacers sit 4th in Eastern Conference with 41 wins from 70 games, while Minnesota holds 7th in Western with 41 wins from 72 games
  • 2
    Pacers show stronger recent momentum with WWWWL form compared to Timberwolves' WLLWW record
  • 3
    Indiana maintains better offensive efficiency with 8159 points scored in 70 games vs Minnesota's 8186 in 72 games played
  • 4
    Pacers hold superior defensive numbers, allowing 8074 points against compared to Timberwolves' 7861 in two more games played

Indiana Pacers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves form

Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
Latest matches
W
W
W
W
L
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 22, 2025
Brooklyn Nets103:108Indiana Pacers
Mar 20, 2025
Brooklyn Nets99:105Indiana Pacers
Mar 19, 2025
Dallas Mavericks131:135Indiana Pacers
Mar 18, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves130:132Indiana Pacers
Mar 16, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks126:119Indiana Pacers
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
Latest matches
W
L
L
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 22, 2025
New Orleans Hornets93:134Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 20, 2025
New Orleans Hornets119:115Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 18, 2025
Indiana Pacers132:130Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 16, 2025
Utah Jazz102:128Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 15, 2025
Orlando Magic111:118Minnesota Timberwolves

Indiana Pacers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves head to head

Indiana Pacers

40%

Minnesota Timberwolves

60%

Mar 24, 2025

Indiana Pacers

0 : 0

Minnesota Timberwolves

Mar 18, 2025

Minnesota Timberwolves

130 : 132

Indiana Pacers

Jul 14, 2024

Indiana Pacers

94 : 105

Minnesota Timberwolves

Mar 8, 2024

Indiana Pacers

111 : 113

Minnesota Timberwolves

Dec 17, 2023

Minnesota Timberwolves

127 : 109

Indiana Pacers

Dec 8, 2022

Minnesota Timberwolves

121 : 115

Indiana Pacers