The Phoenix Suns, riding high on a streak of four wins in their last five games, welcome the Milwaukee Bucks to PHX Arena in what promises to be an electrifying matchup between two offensive powerhouses.

With Kevin Durant leading the Suns' charge at 26.6 points per game and Giannis Antetokounmpo dominating for the Bucks with 30.2 points and 12 rebounds per night, this clash features some of the NBA's most dynamic scorers going head-to-head.

The red-hot Suns, who've been knocking down threes at an impressive clip with 19 makes in their last outing, look to maintain their momentum against a Bucks squad that's held opponents to a stingy 45.3% shooting this season.

Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks matchup, our predictive model gives the Bucks a 59% chance of defeating the Suns.

Milwaukee Bucks: 59% win probability

  • Superior defensive efficiency (7849 points against vs Suns' 8220)
  • Better win percentage (40-30 record vs Suns' 34-37)
  • Higher conference standing (5th in East vs Suns' 11th in West)

Phoenix Suns: 41% win probability

  • Poor defensive record (8220 points against, bottom half of league)
  • Inconsistent performance (34-37 record despite recent wins)
  • Negative point differential (-77 on the season)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Phoenix Suns host the Milwaukee Bucks at home on Monday, March 24.

Phoenix SunsMilwaukee Bucks
Moneyline-142 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)+130 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks preview

The red-hot Phoenix Suns welcome the Milwaukee Bucks to the Footprint Center in what's shaping up to be a fascinating clash of contrasting styles.

Phoenix has found their groove lately, winning four of their last five games, with Devin Booker coming off a monster 41-point performance against Chicago and Kevin Durant consistently delivering around 27 points per night.

The Bucks, despite their recent up-and-down form, remain a defensive powerhouse - they're holding opponents to just 45.4% shooting from the field, good for third-best in the league.

Giannis Antetokounmpo's been carrying the load for Milwaukee, fresh off a dominant 32-point, 17-rebound showing against Sacramento, though Dame Lillard's questionable status with a groin issue could throw a wrench in their gameplan.

The matchup presents an intriguing battle between Phoenix's eighth-ranked offense and Milwaukee's stout defense, which has been particularly tough at protecting the rim this season.

Keep an eye on the three-point line - the Suns just dropped 19 threes on Cleveland, while the Bucks have been solid at limiting opponents' perimeter looks.

History favors Milwaukee in this matchup, with the Bucks winning eight of their last ten meetings against the Suns.

With Phoenix ranking dead last in rim shot attempts and Milwaukee excelling at limiting free throws, this could turn into a fascinating chess match between two teams with very different approaches to scoring.

Key stats

  • 1
    Phoenix Suns (11th West) and Milwaukee Bucks (5th East) both hold identical 40-win records through 71 games played
  • 2
    Bucks maintain a stronger defensive record with 7849 points against compared to Suns' 8220, a difference of 371 points
  • 3
    Suns show better recent momentum with WWWLW form versus Bucks' WWLLW in last five games
  • 4
    Milwaukee's goal difference (+167) significantly outperforms Phoenix's (-77), suggesting stronger overall season performance

Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks form

Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
Latest matches
W
W
W
L
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 22, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers112:123Phoenix Suns
Mar 20, 2025
Chicago Bulls121:127Phoenix Suns
Mar 18, 2025
Toronto Raptors89:129Phoenix Suns
Mar 16, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers107:96Phoenix Suns
Mar 15, 2025
Sacramento Kings106:122Phoenix Suns
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
Latest matches
W
W
L
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 23, 2025
Sacramento Kings108:114Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 21, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers89:118Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 19, 2025
Golden State Warriors104:93Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 17, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder121:105Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 16, 2025
Indiana Pacers119:126Milwaukee Bucks

Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks head to head

Phoenix Suns

17%

Milwaukee Bucks

83%

Jul 19, 2024

Phoenix Suns

115 : 90

Milwaukee Bucks

Mar 17, 2024

Milwaukee Bucks

140 : 129

Phoenix Suns

Feb 7, 2024

Phoenix Suns

114 : 106

Milwaukee Bucks

Jul 9, 2023

Phoenix Suns

75 : 84

Milwaukee Bucks

Mar 15, 2023

Phoenix Suns

104 : 116

Milwaukee Bucks

Feb 26, 2023

Milwaukee Bucks

104 : 101

Phoenix Suns