In what could be a Stanley Cup Finals preview, the red-hot Washington Capitals bring their league-leading offense to Canada Life Centre for a showdown with Connor Hellebuyck and the Winnipeg Jets.

Both powerhouses enter this matchup with impressive credentials - the Caps riding a four-game win streak while boasting the NHL's top scoring attack, and the Jets countering with the league's most lethal power play and Hellebuyck's six shutouts.

The stage is set for an electric atmosphere as the Metropolitan Division-leading Capitals face off against the Central Division-leading Jets in what promises to be a chess match between two of hockey's most complete teams.

Winnipeg Jets vs. Washington Capitals prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Winnipeg Jets vs Washington Capitals matchup, our predictive model gives the Caps a 55% chance of defeating the Jets.

Washington Capitals: 55% win probability

  • League-leading offense (257 goals scored, highest in both conferences)
  • Best overall record (102 points in 70 games played)
  • Hot streak momentum (WWWWL recent form)

Winnipeg Jets: 45% win probability

  • Inconsistent recent performance (LWLWW form shows volatility)
  • Lower scoring output (246 goals vs Capitals' 257)
  • Defensive struggles in recent games (170 goals against, trending upward)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Winnipeg Jets vs. Washington Capitals odds

Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Winnipeg Jets host the Washington Capitals at home on Tuesday, March 25.

Winnipeg JetsWashington Capitals
Moneyline-140 (via Caesars Sportsbook)+120 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)

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Winnipeg Jets vs. Washington Capitals preview

The NHL's top two powerhouses clash at Canada Life Centre as the league-leading Capitals bring their red-hot offense to face the Jets' brick wall defense.

Washington's been absolutely crushing it lately with nine wins in their last ten, while the Jets are looking to bounce back after a tough loss to Buffalo - but don't let that fool you, they've been solid with four wins in their last six.

The matchup features a fascinating goalie duel between Logan Thompson, who's been stellar with a .917 save percentage, and Connor Hellebuyck, who's been straight-up dominant with a league-best six shutouts.

Kyle Connor's been lighting it up for the Jets with 86 points, while the Caps counter with Dylan Strome's playmaking brilliance and Ovechkin's trademark goal-scoring touch.

The special teams battle could be the game-changer here - Winnipeg's power play is clicking at an NHL-best 30% while Washington's penalty kill ranks sixth in the league.

The Caps will have to manage without Milano, Oshie, and Backstrom, which might test their depth against a Jets team that's been nearly unbeatable at home.

This one's shaping up to be a classic chess match between Washington's league-leading offense (3.6 goals per game) and Winnipeg's stifling defense (2.4 goals against).

Given how these teams match up, expect a tight-checking affair where special teams and goaltending could make all the difference.

Key stats

  • 1
    Both teams lead their respective conferences - Jets (100 pts) in West, Capitals (102 pts) in East
  • 2
    Capitals show stronger recent form with WWWWL vs Jets' LWLWW pattern
  • 3
    Jets maintain better defensive record with 170 goals against vs Capitals' 181
  • 4
    Capitals demonstrate superior offensive output with 257 goals for compared to Jets' 246

Winnipeg Jets vs. Washington Capitals form

Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg Jets
Latest matches
L
W
L
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 23, 2025
Buffalo Sabres5:3Winnipeg Jets
Mar 21, 2025
Edmonton Oilers3:4Winnipeg Jets
Mar 19, 2025
Vancouver Canucks6:2Winnipeg Jets
Mar 17, 2025
Seattle Kraken2:3Winnipeg Jets
Mar 15, 2025
Dallas Stars1:4Winnipeg Jets
Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals
Latest matches
W
W
W
W
L
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 22, 2025
Florida Panthers3:6Washington Capitals
Mar 20, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers2:3Washington Capitals
Mar 18, 2025
Detroit Red Wings1:4Washington Capitals
Mar 15, 2025
San Jose Sharks1:5Washington Capitals
Mar 14, 2025
Los Angeles Kings3:0Washington Capitals

Winnipeg Jets vs. Washington Capitals head to head

Winnipeg Jets

33%

Washington Capitals

67%

Feb 2, 2025

Washington Capitals

4 : 5

Winnipeg Jets

Mar 24, 2024

Washington Capitals

3 : 0

Winnipeg Jets

Mar 11, 2024

Winnipeg Jets

3 : 0

Washington Capitals

Dec 24, 2022

Washington Capitals

4 : 1

Winnipeg Jets

Dec 12, 2022

Winnipeg Jets

2 : 5

Washington Capitals

Jan 19, 2022

Washington Capitals

4 : 3

Winnipeg Jets