The red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder roll into Sacramento's Golden 1 Center riding a six-game winning streak and having already clinched the Western Conference's top seed, while the Kings find themselves in a precarious playoff position clinging to the 9th spot.

With key players like Domantas Sabonis and Malik Monk listed as game-time decisions for Sacramento, and the Kings coming off a back-to-back against Boston, their depth will be tested against a Thunder team that ranks among the NBA's elite in both offensive firepower and defensive efficiency.

The stage is set for an intriguing matchup as the Sacramento Kings look to defend their home court against an Oklahoma City Thunder squad that's won 13 of their last 14 games.

Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder matchup, our predictive model gives the Thunder an 81% chance of defeating the Kings.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 81% win probability

  • League-leading win record (59-12 record, best in Western Conference)
  • Elite scoring efficiency (8508 points scored, highest in Western Conference)
  • Superior defensive performance (7592 points against, lowest in conference)

Sacramento Kings: 19% win probability

  • Struggling recent form (LLLWW in last 5 games)
  • Poor defensive record (8220 points against, 9th worst in conference)
  • Inconsistent home performance (35-36 overall record, 9th in conference)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Sacramento Kings host the Oklahoma City Thunder at home on Tuesday, March 25.

Sacramento KingsOklahoma City Thunder
Moneyline+360 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)-380 (via bet365 US)

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Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder preview

The red-hot Thunder roll into Sacramento's Golden 1 Center looking to extend their impressive six-game winning streak, while the Kings are desperately trying to hold onto their playoff hopes.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been nothing short of spectacular for OKC, dropping nearly 33 points per game and making a strong case for MVP consideration with his two-way dominance.

The Kings' defense has been their Achilles' heel this season, and they'll need to figure out how to contain an OKC offense that's been lighting up scoreboards at nearly 120 points per game.

Sacramento's playoff push isn't getting any easier with Domantas Sabonis, Malik Monk, and Devin Carter all being game-time decisions - talk about rough timing against the West's top squad.

The Thunder's lockdown defense, ranked first in both field goal and three-point percentage allowed, could spell trouble for a Kings team that's dropped six of their last eight games.

While OKC's getting reinforcements with Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams expected back in the lineup, the Kings are facing the brutal challenge of a back-to-back after hosting Boston.

Keep an eye on Isaiah Hartenstein, who's been a force on the glass for the Thunder, pulling down 11 rebounds per game and providing that crucial interior presence.

This Western Conference clash might just turn into a scoring fest, given both teams' offensive firepower and the fact that the over has hit in seven of Sacramento's last nine games.

Key stats

  • 1
    Thunder sits atop Western Conference (1st) while Kings struggle in 9th place - massive 24-game gap between teams
  • 2
    OKC boasts league-best 5-game win streak (WWWWW) vs Kings' mixed recent form (LLLWW)
  • 3
    Thunder's offense outperforms Kings by 259 points (8508 vs 8249) with better defensive record (7592 vs 8220)
  • 4
    59 wins vs 35 wins - Thunder holds nearly double the victory count compared to Kings this season

Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder form

Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
Latest matches
L
L
W
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 23, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks114:108Sacramento Kings
Mar 21, 2025
Chicago Bulls128:116Sacramento Kings
Mar 20, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers119:123Sacramento Kings
Mar 18, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies122:132Sacramento Kings
Mar 15, 2025
Phoenix Suns122:106Sacramento Kings
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
Latest matches
W
W
W
W
W
Victories
5/5 (100%)
Defeats
0/5 (0%)
Mar 24, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers101:103Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 22, 2025
Charlotte Bobcats106:141Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 20, 2025
Philadelphia 76ers100:133Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 17, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks105:121Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 15, 2025
Detroit Pistons107:113Oklahoma City Thunder

Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder head to head

Sacramento Kings

17%

Oklahoma City Thunder

83%

Feb 2, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

144 : 110

Sacramento Kings

Nov 26, 2024

Sacramento Kings

109 : 130

Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 10, 2024

Oklahoma City Thunder

112 : 105

Sacramento Kings

Feb 11, 2024

Oklahoma City Thunder

127 : 113

Sacramento Kings

Dec 15, 2023

Sacramento Kings

128 : 123

Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 11, 2023

Sacramento Kings

105 : 98

Oklahoma City Thunder