The Toronto Maple Leafs welcome the Philadelphia Flyers to Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday night with vastly different momentum swings - Toronto sits just two points out of first place while Philadelphia has dropped nine of their last ten games.

The matchup features a stark contrast in offensive firepower, with the Leafs' dynamic trio of Matthews, Marner, and Nylander combining for 209 points this season against a Flyers squad that's managed just eight goals in their past five outings.

The stage is set for an intriguing clash as the home team Maple Leafs look to continue their dominance over the away team Flyers, having already claimed both previous meetings this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs an 80% chance of defeating the Flyers.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 80% win probability

  • Potent offense (224 goals scored, 4th highest in Eastern Conference)
  • Strong playoff position (4th in East with 87 points in 70 games)
  • Momentum advantage (3-2 record in last 5 games vs Flyers' 0-5)

Philadelphia Flyers: 20% win probability

  • Poor defensive record (247 goals against, 3rd worst in Eastern Conference)
  • Current losing streak (5 consecutive losses shown in recent form)
  • Road struggles (28 wins in 72 games, 15th place in Eastern Conference)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Philadelphia Flyers and the home team Toronto Maple Leafs, set to face off on Tuesday, March 25.

Toronto Maple LeafsPhiladelphia Flyers
Moneyline-245 (via bet365 US)+210 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers preview

The Maple Leafs welcome a struggling Flyers squad to Scotiabank Arena in what could be a crucial game for Toronto's push toward the division summit.

Toronto's been red-hot lately, with three wins in their last four, while Philly's hit rock bottom with nine losses in their last ten - talk about two teams heading in opposite directions.

Keep your eyes on Auston Matthews, who's having his best month of the season and has buried four goals in his last five games, though the real story might be Mitch Marner's stellar 85-point campaign.

The Flyers' young gun Matvei Michkov has been one of the few bright spots in their disappointing season, but even he's cooled off with just six points this month.

Toronto's netminder Anthony Stolarz has been a wall between the pipes, sporting a sparkling .918 save percentage - he'll likely get the nod against his former team.

The Leafs have had Philly's number this year, taking both previous matchups, and they'll look to complete the season sweep while chasing that top spot in the division.

With the Flyers giving up seven goals to Chicago in their last outing, Toronto's high-powered offense must be licking their chops at the prospect of facing this leaky defense.

Key stats

  • 1
    Toronto sits 4th in Eastern Conference with 87 points while Philadelphia languishes in 15th with 65 points - a 22-point gap
  • 2
    Maple Leafs boast a positive goal difference of +16 (224 GF, 208 GA) compared to Flyers' -47 (200 GF, 247 GA)
  • 3
    Toronto's recent form shows promise at LWWWL while Philadelphia struggles with five straight losses (LLLLL)
  • 4
    Maple Leafs maintain a strong home record with 42 wins in 70 games versus Flyers' 28 wins in 72 games played

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers form

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest matches
L
W
W
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 22, 2025
Nashville Predators5:2Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 20, 2025
New York Rangers3:4Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 19, 2025
Colorado Avalanche1:2Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 17, 2025
Calgary Flames2:6Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 15, 2025
Ottawa Senators4:2Toronto Maple Leafs
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Latest matches
L
L
L
L
L
Victories
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
5/5 (100%)
Mar 23, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks7:4Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 22, 2025
Dallas Stars3:2Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 20, 2025
Washington Capitals3:2Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 17, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning2:0Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 15, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes5:0Philadelphia Flyers

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers head to head

Toronto Maple Leafs

83%

Philadelphia Flyers

17%

Jan 8, 2025

Philadelphia Flyers

2 : 3

Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 6, 2025

Toronto Maple Leafs

3 : 2

Philadelphia Flyers

Mar 19, 2024

Philadelphia Flyers

4 : 3

Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 14, 2024

Philadelphia Flyers

2 : 6

Toronto Maple Leafs

Feb 16, 2024

Toronto Maple Leafs

4 : 3

Philadelphia Flyers

Jan 9, 2023

Philadelphia Flyers

2 : 6

Toronto Maple Leafs