HomeNewsSabres vs Senators Prediction & Odds - 3/25/2025

Sabres vs Senators Prediction & Odds - 3/25/2025

Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa Senators prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Buffalo Sabres vs Ottawa Senators matchup, our predictive model gives the Sens a 64.33% chance of defeating the Sabres.

Ottawa Senators: 64.33% win probability

Superior goal production (202 goals scored vs Sabres' 217)
Better defensive record (200 goals against vs Sabres' 244)
Higher league position (7th vs 16th in Eastern Conference)

Buffalo Sabres: 35.67% win probability

Poor defensive record (244 goals against, 3rd worst in Eastern Conference)
Inconsistent home performance (28 wins in 69 games played)
Lower points total (62 points vs Senators' 79 points in similar games played)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa Senators odds

Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Buffalo Sabres host the Ottawa Senators at home on Tuesday, March 25.

	Buffalo Sabres	Ottawa Senators
Moneyline	+125 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)	-142 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa Senators preview

The struggling Buffalo Sabres host the surging Ottawa Senators at KeyBank Center in what's shaping up to be a tale of two very different seasons.

Ottawa's defensive prowess has been their secret weapon, with the dynamic duo of Thomas Chabot and Jake Sanderson anchoring a blue line that's kept opponents to under three goals per game.

While the Sabres' offense has shown flashes of brilliance behind Tage Thompson and JJ Peterka's combined firepower, their leaky defense has been their Achilles' heel, giving up a whopping 12 goals in their last three outings.

The goaltending battle couldn't be more stark - Ottawa's Linus Ullmark has been rock-solid with a .908 save percentage, while Buffalo's Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has struggled to find his rhythm, posting a concerning -17.9 goals saved above average.

Tim Stutzle and Brady Tkachuk have been Ottawa's offensive catalysts, though they'll need more support from their secondary scorers to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Buffalo's defensive pairing of Rasmus Dahlin and Owen Power has contributed nicely on offense with 90 combined points, but they'll need to tighten up their own end if they want to play spoiler.

The Senators' playoff push adds extra spice to this matchup, as they look to maintain their grip on the Eastern Conference's top wild card spot.

Keep an eye on the special teams battle - Ottawa's power play has been clicking at nearly 24%, while Buffalo's penalty kill has been a liability at 76.9%.

Key stats

1
Ottawa sits 7th in Eastern Conference with 79 points from 69 games, while Buffalo ranks 16th with 62 points from 69 games
2
Senators show stronger offensive output with 202 goals scored vs Buffalo's 217, but better defensive record allowing 200 vs 244 goals against
3
Ottawa enters with positive momentum on WLLWW recent form, compared to Buffalo's WLLWW streak
4
Both teams have identical games played (69), but Senators hold significant 17-point advantage in standings