The red-hot Denver Nuggets (45-28), who lead the NBA in both field goal percentage and assists, welcome Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks (40-31) to Ball Arena in what promises to be an offensive spectacle.

Both teams enter Wednesday's clash looking to bounce back from recent losses - the Bucks falling short against Phoenix despite Giannis's 31-point performance, while the Nuggets dropped their last outing to Chicago even with Jamal Murray's impressive 28-point showing.

The matchup pits the league's most efficient offense in Denver, averaging 120.7 points per game, against Milwaukee's stingy defense that's holding opponents to just 112.1 points per contest, setting up an intriguing battle between the home team's firepower and the away team's defensive grit.

Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks matchup, our predictive model gives the Nuggets a 58% chance of defeating the Bucks.

Denver Nuggets: 58% win probability

  • Superior offensive output (8,810 points scored this season, 2nd highest in Western Conference)
  • Better overall record (45 wins vs Bucks' 40 wins)
  • Higher league position (3rd in West vs 5th in East)

Milwaukee Bucks: 42% win probability

  • Recent inconsistent form (LWWLL in last 5 games)
  • Lower scoring efficiency (8,122 points scored vs Nuggets' 8,810)
  • Road game disadvantage (40-31 record vs Nuggets' home court advantage)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Milwaukee Bucks head to Denver to face the home team Nuggets on Wednesday, March 26.

Denver NuggetsMilwaukee Bucks
Moneyline-195 (via Caesars Sportsbook)+166 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks preview

The defending champion Nuggets welcome the Bucks to Ball Arena in what promises to be an electrifying clash between two NBA powerhouses.

Denver's been lighting it up on offense, leading the league in both field goal percentage and assists, but their recent stumble against the Bulls exposed some defensive vulnerabilities that Giannis and company might look to exploit.

Speaking of the Greek Freak, he's coming in hot after dropping 31 points and 10 boards against Phoenix, though the Bucks couldn't quite seal the deal in that one.

The Nuggets' Jamal Murray's found his rhythm too, fresh off a 28-point performance with seven dimes - and he'll need to keep that momentum going to match Milwaukee's firepower.

While both teams can fill up the stat sheet, it's their contrasting styles that make this matchup fascinating: Denver's surgical offense (50.5% from the field) against Milwaukee's stingier defense (allowing just 112.1 points per game).

The Bucks' road form has been shaky lately, but they've got the weapons to make this interesting, especially if they can exploit Denver's surprisingly generous perimeter defense.

Ball Arena's altitude could be a factor late in the game, particularly if it turns into a back-and-forth scoring fest.

Keep an eye on the battle of the boards - Denver's been dominant on the offensive glass lately, pulling down 17 in their last outing, which could spell trouble for a Bucks team that's been struggling in that department.

Key stats

  • 1
    Nuggets sit 3rd in West with 45-28 record while Bucks hold 5th in East at 40-31
  • 2
    Denver's offense ranks 2nd in West (8810 points) but allows 8541 against, showing defensive gaps
  • 3
    Bucks struggling with LWWLL form vs Nuggets' LWLLW - both teams lack consistency
  • 4
    Milwaukee's +165 point differential tops Denver's +269, despite lower position

Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks form

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Latest matches
L
W
L
L
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 25, 2025
Chicago Bulls129:119Denver Nuggets
Mar 23, 2025
Houston Rockets111:116Denver Nuggets
Mar 22, 2025
Portland Trail Blazers128:109Denver Nuggets
Mar 20, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers120:108Denver Nuggets
Mar 18, 2025
Golden State Warriors105:114Denver Nuggets
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
Latest matches
L
W
W
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 25, 2025
Phoenix Suns108:106Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 23, 2025
Sacramento Kings108:114Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 21, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers89:118Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 19, 2025
Golden State Warriors104:93Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 17, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder121:105Milwaukee Bucks

Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks head to head

Denver Nuggets

67%

Milwaukee Bucks

33%

Feb 28, 2025

Milwaukee Bucks

121 : 112

Denver Nuggets

Feb 13, 2024

Milwaukee Bucks

112 : 95

Denver Nuggets

Jan 30, 2024

Denver Nuggets

113 : 107

Milwaukee Bucks

Jul 7, 2023

Milwaukee Bucks

92 : 85

Denver Nuggets

Mar 26, 2023

Denver Nuggets

129 : 106

Milwaukee Bucks

Jan 26, 2023

Milwaukee Bucks

107 : 99

Denver Nuggets