The Dallas Stars head into Rogers Place riding high after their recent shutout victory against Minnesota, while the Edmonton Oilers must navigate life without superstars Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl for this pivotal matchup.

Jake Oettinger's stellar performance between the pipes for Dallas, coupled with the Stars' fourth-ranked defense allowing just 2.57 goals per game, could prove decisive against an Oilers team that's somehow managed to keep winning despite missing their offensive firepower.

The Stars (-130) look to split the season series as they face the Oilers (+110) in what promises to be an intense battle at Rogers Place.

Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 70% chance of defeating the Oilers.

Dallas Stars: 70% win probability

  • Superior goal differential (+55 goals on the season)
  • Higher league position (2nd in Western Conference with 94 points)
  • Better recent consistency (8 wins in last 10 games)

Edmonton Oilers: 30% win probability

  • Lower points total (87 points in 70 games played)
  • Weaker defensive record (203 goals against vs Stars' 182)
  • Lower win percentage (41 wins vs Stars' 45 despite same games played)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars odds

Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Edmonton Oilers host the Dallas Stars at home on Wednesday, March 26.

Edmonton OilersDallas Stars
Moneyline+134 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)-145 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

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Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars preview

The Stars roll into Rogers Place looking to settle the score after Edmonton nearly gave them a heart attack in their last meetup, where the Oilers almost coughed up a four-goal lead in a wild 5-4 finish.

Dallas's defensive prowess has been on full display lately, with Jake Oettinger coming off a stellar shutout against Minnesota and the team boasting the fourth-best goals-against average in the NHL.

The Oilers are facing a serious uphill battle without their dynamic duo of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, but Ryan Nugent-Hopkins stepped up big time with a hat trick in their last outing against Seattle.

Both teams are riding some decent momentum - Dallas just wrapped up a solid homestand going 3-0-1, while Edmonton's grabbed wins in four of their last five despite missing their superstars.

The Stars' balanced attack and stingy defense (they're giving up just 2.57 goals per game) could be the difference-maker against an Oilers squad that's had to reinvent itself on the fly.

Keep an eye on Stuart Skinner between the pipes for Edmonton - he's been a bit shaky lately, giving up four goals on 32 shots in his last start.

This one's got all the makings of another classic Western Conference showdown, with both teams trying to strengthen their playoff positioning in their final regular-season matchup.

It's worth noting that seven of the last ten meetings between these clubs have been absolute barnburners, with plenty of goals to go around.

Key stats

  • 1
    Dallas Stars sit 2nd in Western Conference with 94 points while Oilers hold 6th position with 87 points
  • 2
    Edmonton shows stronger recent momentum with 4 wins in last 5 games (WLWWW) compared to Dallas' 3 wins (WWLWL)
  • 3
    Stars maintain better defensive record with 182 goals against versus Oilers' 203 goals conceded
  • 4
    Dallas demonstrates superior goal difference at +55 while Edmonton sits at +26

Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars form

Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers
Latest matches
W
L
W
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 23, 2025
Seattle Kraken4:5Edmonton Oilers
Mar 21, 2025
Winnipeg Jets4:3Edmonton Oilers
Mar 19, 2025
Utah Hockey Club1:7Edmonton Oilers
Mar 16, 2025
New York Rangers1:3Edmonton Oilers
Mar 14, 2025
New York Islanders1:2Edmonton Oilers
Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 25, 2025
Minnesota Wild0:3Dallas Stars
Mar 22, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers2:3Dallas Stars
Mar 21, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning3:2Dallas Stars
Mar 19, 2025
Anaheim Ducks3:4Dallas Stars
Mar 16, 2025
Colorado Avalanche4:3Dallas Stars

Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars head to head

Edmonton Oilers

67%

Dallas Stars

33%

Mar 9, 2025

Edmonton Oilers

5 : 4

Dallas Stars

Oct 19, 2024

Dallas Stars

4 : 1

Edmonton Oilers

Jun 3, 2024

Edmonton Oilers

2 : 1

Dallas Stars

Jun 1, 2024

Dallas Stars

1 : 3

Edmonton Oilers

May 30, 2024

Edmonton Oilers

5 : 2

Dallas Stars

May 28, 2024

Edmonton Oilers

3 : 5

Dallas Stars