The surging Calgary Flames, riding a four-game winning streak and fighting for their playoff lives, welcome the formidable Dallas Stars to the Scotiabank Saddledome in what promises to be a defensive showdown between two of the NHL's stingiest teams.

While Dallas brings their potent offense led by the dynamic duo of Matt Duchene and Jason Robertson, Calgary's recent defensive masterclass - allowing just 10 goals in their last four games - could prove to be the difference-maker.

The clash between Jake Oettinger's Stars (2.57 goals against per game) and Dustin Wolf's Flames (2.91 goals against per game) sets up an intriguing battle between a legitimate Cup contender and a desperate home team looking to continue their late-season push.

Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 65% chance of defeating the Flames.

Dallas Stars: 65% win probability

  • Superior offensive output (241 goals scored vs Flames' 186)
  • Better overall record (46 wins in 71 games vs Flames' 34 in 70)
  • Higher league position (2nd in Western Conference vs Flames' 10th)

Calgary Flames: 35% win probability

  • Struggling offense (186 goals scored, bottom third in conference)
  • Inconsistent home performance (34 wins in 70 games overall)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (206 goals against vs Stars' 185)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Dallas Stars and the home team Calgary Flames, set to face off on Thursday, March 27.

Calgary FlamesDallas Stars
Moneyline+125 (via bet365 US)-144 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars preview

The red-hot Calgary Flames, riding a four-game win streak, welcome the powerhouse Dallas Stars to the Scotiabank Saddledome in what's shaping up to be a classic defensive showdown.

Calgary's Dustin Wolf has been nothing short of spectacular between the pipes, posting a .911 save percentage while making highlight-reel saves that've kept the Flames in the playoff hunt.

The Stars' dynamic duo of Matt Duchene and Jason Robertson have been lighting it up with a combined 139 points this season, but they'll face a stiff test against Calgary's stingy defense that's allowed just 10 goals in their last four outings.

While Dallas boasts the league's sixth-best offense, averaging 3.36 goals per game, they're running into a Flames team that's found their defensive identity under MacKenzie Weegar and Rasmus Andersson's leadership.

The Stars' Jake Oettinger has been a wall in net with a 2.49 GAA, though he'll need to be at his best to contain Calgary's Nazem Kadri and Jonathan Huberdeau, who've quietly put together 111 points between them.

This matchup has all the makings of a chess match, with both teams' blue-liners likely to dictate the pace - Dallas's Thomas Harley's offensive flair from the point could be the x-factor.

The Saddledome crowd should be in for a treat as these Western Conference rivals duke it out in what's become a crucial late-season clash with playoff implications.

Key stats

  • 1
    Dallas Stars sit 2nd in Western Conference with 96 points while Calgary Flames are 10th with 79 points - a 17-point gap
  • 2
    Calgary Flames show strong momentum with 4 wins in last 5 games (WWWWL), matching Dallas Stars' recent form (WWWLW)
  • 3
    Dallas Stars maintain superior goal difference of +56 (241 GF, 185 GA) compared to Flames' -20 (186 GF, 206 GA)
  • 4
    Calgary Flames have played 70 games versus Dallas Stars' 71, giving them a game in hand to potentially close points gap

Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars form

Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames
Latest matches
W
W
W
W
L
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 26, 2025
Seattle Kraken3:4Calgary Flames
Mar 22, 2025
New York Islanders3:4Calgary Flames
Mar 20, 2025
New Jersey Devils3:5Calgary Flames
Mar 18, 2025
New York Rangers1:2Calgary Flames
Mar 17, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs6:2Calgary Flames
Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars
Latest matches
D
W
W
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 27, 2025
Edmonton Oilers0:0Dallas Stars
Mar 25, 2025
Minnesota Wild0:3Dallas Stars
Mar 22, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers2:3Dallas Stars
Mar 21, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning3:2Dallas Stars
Mar 19, 2025
Anaheim Ducks3:4Dallas Stars

Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars head to head

Calgary Flames

33%

Dallas Stars

67%

Mar 7, 2025

Dallas Stars

3 : 2

Calgary Flames

Dec 9, 2024

Dallas Stars

6 : 2

Calgary Flames

Dec 1, 2023

Calgary Flames

4 : 3

Dallas Stars

Nov 25, 2023

Dallas Stars

4 : 7

Calgary Flames

Nov 2, 2023

Calgary Flames

3 : 4

Dallas Stars

Mar 19, 2023

Calgary Flames

5 : 6

Dallas Stars