HomeNewsSabres vs Penguins Prediction & Odds - 3/27/2025

Sabres vs Penguins Prediction & Odds - 3/27/2025

Buffalo Sabres vs. Pittsburgh Penguins prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Buffalo Sabres vs Pittsburgh Penguins matchup, our predictive model gives the Sabres a 54% chance of defeating the Pens.

Buffalo Sabres: 54% win probability

Superior offensive output (220 goals scored vs Penguins' 214)
Better recent form (WWLLW vs Penguins' LLWLW)
Fewer games played (70 vs 73, indicating less fatigue)

Pittsburgh Penguins: 46% win probability

Poor defensive record (267 goals against, worst in Eastern Conference)
Current losing streak (LLWLW recent form)
Road game disadvantage (29-33-11 overall record shows road struggles)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Pittsburgh Penguins odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Pittsburgh Penguins and the home team Buffalo Sabres, set to face off on Thursday, March 27.

	Buffalo Sabres	Pittsburgh Penguins
Moneyline	-135 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)	+115 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)

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Buffalo Sabres vs. Pittsburgh Penguins preview

The struggling Penguins head to Buffalo's KeyBank Center looking to shake off a brutal 6-1 loss to Tampa Bay that highlighted their recent defensive woes.

While Pittsburgh boasts offensive weapons like Bryan Rust (26 goals) and Sidney Crosby, their road performance has been lackluster, averaging just 2.61 goals away from home this season.

The Sabres, despite likely missing the playoffs for a 14th straight year, have shown signs of life with back-to-back wins, including a gutsy 3-2 comeback victory over Ottawa powered by Tage Thompson's 35th goal of the season.

Both teams' defensive struggles have been evident - Pittsburgh ranks 31st in goals against (3.58 per game), while Buffalo sits at 29th (3.50) - suggesting we could see plenty of scoring in this one.

The goaltending matchup pits Pittsburgh's Tristan Jarry, looking to bounce back after getting pulled against Tampa, against Buffalo's Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, who's been a bright spot for the Sabres this year.

While the Penguins have dominated recent matchups with a 6-3-1 record in their last 10 meetings, Buffalo's improved home scoring (3.34 goals per game) and Pittsburgh's road struggles make this an intriguing clash.

Keep an eye on Buffalo's young guns Jack Quinn and Zach Benson, who've been creating havoc for opponents lately, while Pittsburgh will lean heavily on their veteran core to right the ship.

Key stats

1
Both teams sit near bottom of Eastern Conference - Penguins in 14th (69 pts), Sabres in 16th (64 pts)
2
Penguins struggling with 5 losses in last 7 games while Sabres show mixed form with 2 wins in last 5
3
Buffalo has better offensive output with 220 goals scored vs Pittsburgh's 214, despite playing 3 fewer games
4
Significant defensive concerns for both teams - Penguins allowed 267 goals, Sabres conceded 246