The Toronto Maple Leafs head into SAP Center with revenge on their minds after a shocking shootout loss to the Sharks earlier this month, bringing their high-powered offense that just put up seven goals against Philadelphia.

While San Jose sits at the bottom of the league standings, they've shown flashes of competence with recent wins over Boston and Chicago, plus that unexpected victory in Toronto that's still fresh in the Leafs' memory.

The San Jose Sharks host the Toronto Maple Leafs in what could be either a statement game for the home team or a harsh reality check against one of the league's most potent attacks.

San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction: who will win?

For tonight's San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 60% chance of defeating the Sharks.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 60% win probability

  • Potent offense (231 goals scored, 3rd highest in Eastern Conference)
  • Strong position in standings (3rd place, 89 points in 71 games)
  • Momentum advantage (Recent form: WLWWW vs Sharks' WLLWL)

San Jose Sharks: 40% win probability

  • League-worst position (16th in Western Conference, 47 points)
  • Poor goal differential (-77, allowing 259 goals while scoring just 182)
  • Inconsistent performance (19 wins in 70 games played)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the home team San Jose Sharks, set to face off on Thursday, March 27.

San Jose SharksToronto Maple Leafs
Moneyline+225 (via bet365 US)-265 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs head to SAP Center riding high after their 7-2 demolition of the Flyers, with the dynamic duo of John Tavares and William Nylander each putting up four-point performances.

While the Sharks might be at the bottom of the league standings, they've shown surprising bite lately, including a stunning shootout victory over these same Leafs earlier this month and an impressive win against the Bruins in their last outing.

Toronto's offense has been on fire, lighting the lamp at least four times in four of their last five games, though their defense has been a bit leaky - giving up multiple goals in 16 of their last 17 matches.

Joseph Woll gets the start between the pipes for the Leafs, looking to improve on his solid 24-13-0 record, while the Sharks counter with Alexandar Georgiev, who's coming off a confidence-boosting performance against Boston.

The absence of veteran Max Pacioretty from Toronto's lineup could open up opportunities for San Jose's young guns like William Eklund, who's been finding his groove lately.

The Leafs' previous visit to San Jose featured an uncharacteristic 22 giveaways - something coach Keefe has surely addressed in practice this week.

With Toronto battling Florida for the Atlantic Division's top spot, they can't afford another slip-up against the underdog Sharks, who've proven they can punch above their weight class when the stars align.

Key stats

  • 1
    Toronto sits 3rd in Eastern Conference with 89 points while San Jose ranks last in Western Conference with 47 points
  • 2
    Maple Leafs boast a +21 goal difference (231 GF, 210 GA) compared to Sharks' -77 (182 GF, 259 GA)
  • 3
    Toronto shows strong momentum with recent form WLWWW while San Jose struggles with WLLWL
  • 4
    Sharks have only managed 19 wins in 70 games versus Toronto's 43 wins in 71 games played

San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs form

San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks
Latest matches
W
L
L
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 23, 2025
Boston Bruins1:3San Jose Sharks
Mar 21, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes3:1San Jose Sharks
Mar 15, 2025
Washington Capitals5:1San Jose Sharks
Mar 14, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks2:4San Jose Sharks
Mar 12, 2025
Nashville Predators3:2San Jose Sharks
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest matches
W
L
W
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 25, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers2:7Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 22, 2025
Nashville Predators5:2Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 20, 2025
New York Rangers3:4Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 19, 2025
Colorado Avalanche1:2Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 17, 2025
Calgary Flames2:6Toronto Maple Leafs

San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs head to head

San Jose Sharks

33%

Toronto Maple Leafs

67%

Mar 4, 2025

Toronto Maple Leafs

2 : 3

San Jose Sharks

Jan 10, 2024

Toronto Maple Leafs

7 : 1

San Jose Sharks

Jan 7, 2024

San Jose Sharks

1 : 4

Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 1, 2022

Toronto Maple Leafs

3 : 1

San Jose Sharks

Oct 28, 2022

San Jose Sharks

4 : 3

Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 27, 2021

San Jose Sharks

1 : 4

Toronto Maple Leafs