HomeNewsThunder vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 3/27/2025

Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 3/27/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies matchup, our predictive model gives the Thunder a 78.33% chance of defeating the Grizzlies.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 78.33% win probability

League-leading win record (60-12 record, best in Western Conference)
Elite scoring efficiency (8629 points scored, highest in Western Conference)
Dominant recent momentum (WWWWW in last 5 games)

Memphis Grizzlies: 21.67% win probability

Recent poor form (WLLLW in last 5 games shows inconsistency)
Defensive struggles (8406 points against, 4th worst in conference)
Road game disadvantage (facing #1 seed with 28 losses vs OKC's 12)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Memphis Grizzlies at home on Thursday, March 27.

	Oklahoma City Thunder	Memphis Grizzlies
Moneyline	-450 (via bet365 US)	+360 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies preview

The red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder host the Memphis Grizzlies at Paycom Center in what's shaping up to be a fascinating Western Conference clash.

OKC's been absolutely crushing it lately, winning 14 of their last 15 games behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's stellar play - he just dropped 32 points against Sacramento and has been torching defenses all season with nearly 33 points per game.

The Grizzlies, despite missing Ja Morant with a hamstring issue, showed they've still got serious firepower after demolishing Utah 140-103 in their last outing, with Desmond Bane stepping up as the team's offensive catalyst.

While Memphis leads the league in scoring at 122.4 points per game, they'll have their work cut out against OKC's lockdown defense, which ranks second in the NBA allowing just 106.9 points.

The Thunder have dominated this matchup recently, winning their last eight meetings, but Memphis's high-octane offense and league-leading pace could make this more interesting than the stats suggest.

Keep an eye on the Grizzlies' Jaren Jackson Jr., who left Tuesday's game with a facial injury - his availability could be a major factor in how this one plays out.

The matchup between Chet Holmgren's rim protection and the Grizzlies' aggressive offensive style should be particularly fascinating to watch.

With OKC already having clinched the Western Conference crown and Memphis fighting for playoff positioning, this clash carries different stakes for each team but promises plenty of fireworks.

Key stats

1
Thunder lead Western Conference with 60 wins while Grizzlies sit 4th with 44 wins - 16 win gap between teams
2
Thunder boast best scoring differential in West (+932) compared to Grizzlies (+406), showing stronger offensive efficiency
3
Thunder riding perfect 5-game win streak (WWWWW) while Grizzlies struggling with recent form (WLLLW)
4
Both teams have played 72 games with Thunder's .833 win% vastly outpacing Grizzlies' .611 win%