The Tampa Bay Lightning are gearing up to host the New York Islanders in what promises to be a thrilling matchup at Amalie Arena.
With the Lightning's potent offense led by Andrei Vasilevskiy's stellar goaltending facing off against Ilya Sorokin and the Islanders' tenacious defense, fans are in for a treat.
As the puck drops, all eyes will be on how the home team's league-leading power play fares against the Isles' penalty kill in this clash of Eastern Conference titans.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders matchup, our predictive model gives the Bolts a 70% chance of defeating the Isles.
Tampa Bay Lightning: 70% win probability
- Offensive firepower (259 goals scored, 2nd in Eastern Conference)
- Strong goal differential (+67, 3rd in Eastern Conference)
- Consistent performance (42 wins in 72 games, 5th in Eastern Conference)
New York Islanders: 30% win probability
- Struggling offense (195 goals scored, 14th in Eastern Conference)
- Inconsistent form (Recent form: LLLWW, 11th in Eastern Conference)
- Poor road performance (32 wins in 71 games, 11th in Eastern Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders odds
Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the New York Islanders and the home team Tampa Bay Lightning, set to face off on Saturday, March 29.
| Tampa Bay Lightning | New York Islanders | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -225 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | +195 (via bet365 US) |
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning are gearing up to host the New York Islanders in what promises to be an electrifying matchup at Amalie Arena.
Tampa's been on fire lately, with their recent 6-1 thrashing of the Penguins showcasing their offensive prowess.
The Bolts' power play has been lethal, converting at an impressive 25.74% rate, while the Isles have struggled, managing just 12% efficiency with the man advantage.
Keep an eye on Andrei Vasilevskiy between the pipes for Tampa – he's been a wall this season with a .917 save percentage.
The Islanders, coming off a tough 5-2 loss to the Canucks, will need Ilya Sorokin to stand tall if they hope to weather the Lightning's offensive storm.
While Tampa's the clear favorite, New York's resilience shouldn't be underestimated – they've got a knack for grinding out tough wins on the road.
With the Lightning's high-octane offense squaring off against the Islanders' stingy defense, this clash of styles could make for some edge-of-your-seat hockey.
Buckle up, folks – this one's got all the makings of a barn burner!
Key stats
- 1Tampa Bay Lightning sit 5th in the Eastern Conference with 89 points
- 2New York Islanders are 11th in the Eastern Conference with 74 points
- 3Lightning have a strong goal difference of +67, while Islanders are at -19
- 4Tampa Bay's recent form is WWLLW, compared to New York's LLLWW
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders form
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders head to head
Tampa Bay Lightning
50%
New York Islanders
50%
Feb 2, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
2 : 3
New York Islanders
Mar 30, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
4 : 1
New York Islanders
Feb 24, 2024
New York Islanders
2 : 4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 9, 2024
New York Islanders
6 : 2
Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 6, 2023
New York Islanders
6 : 1
Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 1, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning
5 : 0
New York Islanders
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