Inter Miami rides a six-game winning streak into Saturday's showdown against Philadelphia Union, though Lionel Messi's reported adductor pain casts a shadow over the home side's dominance.

The Union, fresh off a 1-0 victory against St. Louis City and having scored in each of their last six matches, will look to avenge their recent 3-1 defeat to Miami just two weeks ago.

With both defenses showing contrasting form—Miami conceding just three goals in their last six outings while Philadelphia has leaked eight—all eyes will be on whether Luis Suárez can pick up the slack if Messi sits when Inter Miami hosts Philadelphia Union at Chase Stadium.

Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union matchup, our predictive model gives the Inter's a 72.5% chance of defeating the Union.

Inter Miami: 72.5% win probability

  • Undefeated record so far this season (3 wins, 1 draw in 4 games)
  • Impressive offensive production (9 goals scored in just 4 matches)
  • Strong defensive discipline (only conceded 4 goals in 4 games)

Philadelphia Union: 27.5% win probability

  • Defensive vulnerabilities (conceded 6 goals in 5 matches)
  • Inconsistent recent form (WLWWW shows some instability)
  • Poor away record expected based on top position reliance on home games

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.

Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union odds

Here are the latest odds for the upcoming MLS matchup between home team Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union on Saturday, March 29.

Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
Moneyline (via bet365 US) (via bet365 US)

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Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union preview

Inter Miami's red-hot six-game winning streak puts them in commanding form as they welcome Philadelphia Union to Chase Stadium this Saturday night in what promises to be a high-scoring affair.

The Herons' dynamic offense, historically led by Lionel Messi who's currently sidelined with adductor pain, has been nearly unstoppable, though their defense has shown equal quality by conceding just three goals in their last six outings.

Philadelphia enters after a confidence-boosting 1-0 victory over St. Louis City, with young Ian Glavinovich finding the net, continuing their trend of scoring in six straight matches.

Recent history favors Miami, who claimed a convincing 3-1 victory when these sides last met in September, with Miami dominating possession and Messi bagging a brace before Luis Suárez added a third.

The Union will miss Markus Anderson due to an ankle injury, while Miami faces a significant challenge without both Messi and Marcelo Weigandt unavailable for selection.

This matchup has historically delivered goals—17 in their last six meetings—suggesting fans should expect fireworks at Chase Stadium.

Given Miami's home advantage and current form, they're likely to create numerous scoring opportunities while Philadelphia will struggle but should manage to find the net.

I'm looking for Miami to continue their impressive run with a 2-1 victory, though the absence of Messi might just keep things closer than their previous encounter.

Key stats

  • 1
    Philadelphia Union lead the league with 12 points while Inter Miami sit 3rd with 10 points from one fewer match played
  • 2
    Inter Miami remain unbeaten this season (W3 D1) while Philadelphia have won four games but lost one
  • 3
    Inter Miami have scored 9 goals and conceded 4 (GD: +5) compared to Philadelphia's 12 goals scored and 6 conceded (GD: +6)
  • 4
    Inter Miami's recent form shows WWWD while Philadelphia are on a hot streak with WLWWW

Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union form

Inter Miami
Inter Miami
Latest matches
W
W
W
D
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 16, 2025
Atlanta United1:2Inter Miami
Mar 9, 2025
Charlotte0:1Inter Miami
Mar 3, 2025
Houston1:4Inter Miami
Feb 23, 2025
New York City2:2Inter Miami
Nov 10, 2024
Atlanta United3:2Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
Latest matches
W
L
W
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 22, 2025
St. Louis City0:1Philadelphia Union
Mar 16, 2025
Nashville SC3:1Philadelphia Union
Mar 9, 2025
New England0:2Philadelphia Union
Mar 2, 2025
Cincinnati1:4Philadelphia Union
Feb 23, 2025
Orla1ndo City2:4Philadelphia Union

Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union head to head

Inter Miami

60%

Philadelphia Union

40%

Sep 14, 2024

Inter Miami

3 : 1

Philadelphia Union

Jun 15, 2024

Philadelphia Union

1 : 2

Inter Miami

Jun 24, 2023

Philadelphia Union

4 : 1

Inter Miami

Mar 5, 2023

Inter Miami

2 : 0

Philadelphia Union

Jul 14, 2022

Inter Miami

1 : 2

Philadelphia Union

May 18, 2022

Philadelphia Union

0 : 0

Inter Miami