Inter Miami rides a six-game winning streak into Saturday's showdown against Philadelphia Union, though Lionel Messi's reported adductor pain casts a shadow over the home side's dominance.
The Union, fresh off a 1-0 victory against St. Louis City and having scored in each of their last six matches, will look to avenge their recent 3-1 defeat to Miami just two weeks ago.
With both defenses showing contrasting form—Miami conceding just three goals in their last six outings while Philadelphia has leaked eight—all eyes will be on whether Luis Suárez can pick up the slack if Messi sits when Inter Miami hosts Philadelphia Union at Chase Stadium.
Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union matchup, our predictive model gives the Inter's a 72.5% chance of defeating the Union.
Inter Miami: 72.5% win probability
- Undefeated record so far this season (3 wins, 1 draw in 4 games)
- Impressive offensive production (9 goals scored in just 4 matches)
- Strong defensive discipline (only conceded 4 goals in 4 games)
Philadelphia Union: 27.5% win probability
- Defensive vulnerabilities (conceded 6 goals in 5 matches)
- Inconsistent recent form (WLWWW shows some instability)
- Poor away record expected based on top position reliance on home games
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union odds
Here are the latest odds for the upcoming MLS matchup between home team Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union on Saturday, March 29.
Inter Miami | Philadelphia Union | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | (via bet365 US) | (via bet365 US) |
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Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union preview
Inter Miami's red-hot six-game winning streak puts them in commanding form as they welcome Philadelphia Union to Chase Stadium this Saturday night in what promises to be a high-scoring affair.
The Herons' dynamic offense, historically led by Lionel Messi who's currently sidelined with adductor pain, has been nearly unstoppable, though their defense has shown equal quality by conceding just three goals in their last six outings.
Philadelphia enters after a confidence-boosting 1-0 victory over St. Louis City, with young Ian Glavinovich finding the net, continuing their trend of scoring in six straight matches.
Recent history favors Miami, who claimed a convincing 3-1 victory when these sides last met in September, with Miami dominating possession and Messi bagging a brace before Luis Suárez added a third.
The Union will miss Markus Anderson due to an ankle injury, while Miami faces a significant challenge without both Messi and Marcelo Weigandt unavailable for selection.
This matchup has historically delivered goals—17 in their last six meetings—suggesting fans should expect fireworks at Chase Stadium.
Given Miami's home advantage and current form, they're likely to create numerous scoring opportunities while Philadelphia will struggle but should manage to find the net.
I'm looking for Miami to continue their impressive run with a 2-1 victory, though the absence of Messi might just keep things closer than their previous encounter.
Key stats
- 1Philadelphia Union lead the league with 12 points while Inter Miami sit 3rd with 10 points from one fewer match played
- 2Inter Miami remain unbeaten this season (W3 D1) while Philadelphia have won four games but lost one
- 3Inter Miami have scored 9 goals and conceded 4 (GD: +5) compared to Philadelphia's 12 goals scored and 6 conceded (GD: +6)
- 4Inter Miami's recent form shows WWWD while Philadelphia are on a hot streak with WLWWW
Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union form


Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union head to head
Inter Miami
60%
Philadelphia Union
40%
Sep 14, 2024
Inter Miami
3 : 1
Philadelphia Union
Jun 15, 2024
Philadelphia Union
1 : 2
Inter Miami
Jun 24, 2023
Philadelphia Union
4 : 1
Inter Miami
Mar 5, 2023
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Philadelphia Union
Jul 14, 2022
Inter Miami
1 : 2
Philadelphia Union
May 18, 2022
Philadelphia Union
0 : 0
Inter Miami
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