The Oklahoma City Thunder, boasting the NBA's best record and an eight-game winning streak, are gearing up to host the red-hot Indiana Pacers in what promises to be an explosive matchup at Paycom Center.

With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the charge for OKC's top-ranked defense and the Pacers' high-powered offense coming off a 162-point outburst, fans can expect a thrilling contest between two of the league's most dynamic teams.

As the Thunder aim to maintain their dominance at home and the Pacers fight to secure a higher playoff seed, this showdown between the home team and away team could have significant implications for both squads' postseason aspirations.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers matchup, our predictive model gives the Thunder a 66% chance of defeating the Pacers.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 66% win probability

  • League-leading record (61 wins in 73 games)
  • Dominant offense (8754 points scored, highest in the league)
  • Exceptional recent form (5-game winning streak)

Indiana Pacers: 34% win probability

  • Lower win percentage (43 wins in 73 games)
  • Defensive struggles (8406 points allowed, 10th highest in the league)
  • Inconsistent recent performance (3-2 in last 5 games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers odds

Here are the latest odds for the NBA matchup between the Indiana Pacers and the home team Oklahoma City Thunder, set to take place on Saturday, March 29.

Oklahoma City ThunderIndiana Pacers
Moneyline-480 (via Caesars Sportsbook)+380 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers are set to face off in what promises to be an explosive matchup at Paycom Center.

OKC, boasting the league's best record and riding an eight-game winning streak, will look to leverage their top-ranked defense against Indiana's high-octane offense.

Keep an eye on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder's MVP frontrunner, who's been lighting up the scoreboard with 32.9 points per game.

The Pacers, fresh off a 162-point outburst, are no slouches either, with their eighth-best offensive rating and sharpshooting from all areas of the court.

While OKC's ball security could neutralize Indiana's turnover-forcing defense, the Pacers' lackluster rebounding might struggle against the Thunder's improving work on the boards.

History favors a high-scoring affair, with seven of the last nine meetings between these teams going over the total.

With both squads ranking in the top 10 for pace and offensive rating, fans can expect a fast-paced, bucket-filled showdown that could come down to which team's defense holds up better in crunch time.

As these playoff-bound teams collide, it's anyone's guess who'll come out on top in this clash of offensive firepower and defensive prowess.

Key stats

  • 1
    Oklahoma City Thunder leads the Western Conference in 1st place with 61 wins
  • 2
    Indiana Pacers sits 4th in the Eastern Conference with 43 wins
  • 3
    Thunder boasts a perfect WWWWW recent form
  • 4
    Pacers hold a positive goal difference of +153 compared to Thunder's +953

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers form

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
Latest matches
W
W
W
W
W
Victories
5/5 (100%)
Defeats
0/5 (0%)
Mar 28, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies104:125Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 26, 2025
Sacramento Kings105:121Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 24, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers101:103Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 22, 2025
Charlotte Bobcats106:141Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 20, 2025
Philadelphia 76ers100:133Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
Latest matches
W
L
W
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 27, 2025
Washington Wizards109:162Indiana Pacers
Mar 26, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers120:119Indiana Pacers
Mar 24, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves103:119Indiana Pacers
Mar 22, 2025
Brooklyn Nets103:108Indiana Pacers
Mar 20, 2025
Brooklyn Nets99:105Indiana Pacers

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers head to head

Oklahoma City Thunder

50%

Indiana Pacers

50%

Dec 27, 2024

Indiana Pacers

114 : 120

Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 5, 2024

Indiana Pacers

126 : 112

Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 13, 2024

Oklahoma City Thunder

111 : 121

Indiana Pacers

Jul 12, 2023

Indiana Pacers

87 : 98

Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 31, 2023

Indiana Pacers

121 : 117

Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 19, 2023

Oklahoma City Thunder

126 : 106

Indiana Pacers