With the playoff picture taking shape and just under 10 games remaining, the Milwaukee Bucks host the Atlanta Hawks in what could be a pivotal matchup for Eastern Conference positioning.

The fifth meeting between these teams this season comes as they've split their previous four contests, though recent form favors the Hawks (winners of seven of their last 11) over the slumping Bucks (losers of five of their last seven) – despite Giannis putting up monster numbers with 30.2 points per game.

Sunday's clash between the sixth-placed Bucks and seventh-seeded Hawks could ultimately determine who avoids the play-in tournament as Milwaukee Bucks take on Atlanta Hawks in what promises to be an offensive showdown at Fiserv Forum.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Atlanta Hawks prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks matchup, our predictive model gives the Hawks a 56% chance of defeating the Bucks.

Atlanta Hawks: 56% win probability

  • Better recent form with a 'LLWWW' record compared to Bucks' 'LLLWW' (Hawks showing stronger momentum in last 5 games)
  • Similar defensive record allowing 8715 points compared to Bucks' 8200, but Hawks have scored more with 8577 points versus 8346 (More offensive firepower)
  • Currently on a 3-game winning streak which has helped improve their Eastern Conference standing to 8th position (Building confidence at crucial point in season)

Milwaukee Bucks: 44% win probability

  • Poor recent form with 'LLLWW' record indicates inconsistent performance (Lost 3 of their last 5 games)
  • Home court advantage hasn't translated to dominant performances with 40-33 overall record despite being 6th in Eastern Conference (Struggling to capitalize on home games)
  • Offensive production of 8346 points falls short of Atlanta's 8577, suggesting scoring challenges (Averaging fewer points per game than Hawks)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Atlanta Hawks odds

Here are the latest odds for the upcoming NBA matchup as the Milwaukee Bucks host the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday, March 30.

Milwaukee BucksAtlanta Hawks
Moneyline-170 (via bet365 US)+146 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Atlanta Hawks preview

The Hawks and Bucks lock horns this Sunday with the season series deadlocked at 2-2, setting up what promises to be a pivotal clash as both teams jockey for playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference.

Milwaukee, currently clinging to the sixth seed to avoid the play-in tournament, has looked shaky lately, dropping five of their last seven games despite Giannis Antetokounmpo's consistent dominance (he just dropped 30 points against the Knicks).

Atlanta, meanwhile, has found some rhythm by winning seven of their last eleven outings, though they're coming off a tough loss to Miami where Trae Young's 29-point performance wasn't enough to overcome costly turnovers.

The contrast in defensive approaches might tell the story on Sunday—the Hawks surrender the fourth-most points in the league while Milwaukee has typically been more stingy, ranking 12th in points allowed.

Both teams can light it up offensively, with Atlanta ranking fifth in scoring (117.5 PPG) while the Bucks boast the third-best three-point shooting percentage in the NBA at 38.2%.

The injury bug hasn't been kind to either squad: Damian Lillard's absence creates a massive playmaking void for Milwaukee, while Atlanta could be without five rotation players including Clint Capela and Jalen Johnson.

These teams know each other inside and out at this point—their most recent meeting ended with Milwaukee winning a high-scoring 127-121 affair back in March.

With the Hawks fighting to improve their play-in position and the Bucks desperate to stop their recent slide, expect an intense, up-tempo battle where defensive lapses could ultimately determine who takes the season series lead.

Key stats

  • 1
    The Bucks (6th in Eastern Conference with 40-33 record) face the Hawks (8th with 35-38 record)
  • 2
    Milwaukee has struggled recently with a LLLWW form while Atlanta comes in with momentum at LLWWW
  • 3
    Both teams have positive point differentials - Bucks (+146) slightly better than Hawks (-138)
  • 4
    Division rivals separated by only 5 wins, with Milwaukee having played 2 fewer games than Atlanta

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Atlanta Hawks form

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
Latest matches
L
L
L
W
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 29, 2025
New York Knicks116:107Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 27, 2025
Denver Nuggets127:117Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 25, 2025
Phoenix Suns108:106Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 23, 2025
Sacramento Kings108:114Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 21, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers89:118Milwaukee Bucks
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
Latest matches
L
L
W
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 27, 2025
Miami Heat122:112Atlanta Hawks
Mar 26, 2025
Houston Rockets121:114Atlanta Hawks
Mar 23, 2025
Philadelphia 76ers119:132Atlanta Hawks
Mar 22, 2025
Golden State Warriors115:124Atlanta Hawks
Mar 18, 2025
Charlotte Bobcats102:134Atlanta Hawks

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Atlanta Hawks head to head

Milwaukee Bucks

60%

Atlanta Hawks

40%

Mar 30, 2025

Milwaukee Bucks

0 : 0

Atlanta Hawks

Mar 5, 2025

Atlanta Hawks

121 : 127

Milwaukee Bucks

Feb 8, 2025

Atlanta Hawks

115 : 110

Milwaukee Bucks

Dec 14, 2024

Milwaukee Bucks

110 : 102

Atlanta Hawks

Dec 5, 2024

Milwaukee Bucks

104 : 119

Atlanta Hawks

Mar 30, 2024

Atlanta Hawks

113 : 122

Milwaukee Bucks