HomeNewsDucks vs Maple Leafs Prediction & Odds - 3/30/2025

Ducks vs Maple Leafs Prediction & Odds - 3/30/2025

Anaheim Ducks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Anaheim Ducks vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 77.5% chance of defeating the Ducks.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 77.5% win probability

Strong offensive production (239 goals scored this season, ranking them among the top Eastern Conference teams)
Excellent position in standings (3rd in Eastern Conference with 92 points in 73 games)
Superior winning percentage (44 wins compared to Ducks' 32, demonstrating consistent performance throughout the season)

Anaheim Ducks: 22.5% win probability

Poor defensive record (227 goals against, significantly worse than Toronto's 217)
Lower standing in their conference (12th in Western Conference with only 72 points)
Negative goal differential (-28 compared to Toronto's +22, indicating consistent struggles to outscore opponents)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Anaheim Ducks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL showdown as the Toronto Maple Leafs visit the Anaheim Ducks at home this Sunday, March 30.

	Anaheim Ducks	Toronto Maple Leafs
Moneyline	+140 (via bet365 US)	-162 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Anaheim Ducks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs preview

The Leafs roll into Honda Center tonight looking for a bounce-back performance after Thursday's wild 6-5 loss to San Jose, bringing their explosive offense that ranks 7th in the NHL with 3.3 goals per game.

Anaheim, fresh off a momentum-building 5-4 overtime win against the Rangers, faces long playoff odds sitting 13 points out of the final Western Conference wild card spot with just 10 games remaining.

William Nylander has been Toronto's scoring machine with 42 goals, while the Ducks counter with a balanced attack led by Mason McTavish and Frank Vatrano (20 goals each).

Special teams could be the difference-maker tonight, with Toronto's potent power play converting at 26.5% while Anaheim struggles mightily at both ends of the man advantage.

Worth watching is Leafs goalie Anthony Stolarz, who's posted impressive numbers (2.40 GAA, .917 save percentage) in his 26 appearances this season.

The over has hit in five of Toronto's last six games and in seven of Anaheim's last nine home contests, suggesting we might see fireworks on the scoreboard tonight.

Honda Center fans haven't had much to cheer about lately with the Ducks dropping 13 of their last 18 March games, but they'll hope for another upset like Friday's thriller against New York.

For Toronto, this caps a California back-to-back after facing the Kings on Saturday, testing their endurance as they look to strengthen their hold on second place in the Atlantic Division.

Key stats

1
Toronto Maple Leafs sit 3rd in Eastern Conference with 92 points while Anaheim Ducks are 12th in Western with 72 points - a 20-point gap
2
Toronto has a +22 goal difference (239 GF, 217 GA) compared to Anaheim's -28 (199 GF, 227 GA)
3
Recent form shows Toronto at WLWLW while Anaheim has been inconsistent at WWLWL
4
Toronto has won 44 of 73 games (60% win rate) versus Anaheim's 32 wins in 72 games (44% win rate)