The surging Carolina Hurricanes welcome the New York Islanders to PNC Arena Sunday afternoon in what could be a make-or-break game for the visitors' playoff hopes.

While Carolina sits comfortably in second place in the Eastern Conference, the Islanders find themselves one point out of the final wildcard spot after dropping three straight games – creating a fascinating clash of motivations between a team looking to climb higher and another fighting just to get in.

Sebastian Aho's Hurricanes have dominated this matchup historically with a 6-2-2 record in their last 10 against the Islanders, though New York holds a 2-1 edge in this season's series as they look to complete an unlikely upset against a Carolina home team that's won six of their last seven in Raleigh.

Carolina Hurricanes vs. New York Islanders prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Islanders matchup, our predictive model gives the Hurricanes a 77.5% chance of defeating the Islanders.

Carolina Hurricanes: 77.5% win probability

  • Superior offensive production (239 goals for compared to Islanders' 198 goals)
  • Stronger overall record (44 wins vs 32 wins for the Islanders)
  • Excellent defensive structure (192 goals against vs Islanders' 219)

New York Islanders: 22.5% win probability

  • Recent poor form (LLLLW shows 4 losses in last 5 games)
  • Lower league position (11th in Eastern Conference vs Hurricanes' 2nd)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (219 goals against in 72 games played)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Carolina Hurricanes vs. New York Islanders odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL match between the New York Islanders and the home team Carolina Hurricanes on Sunday, March 30.

Carolina HurricanesNew York Islanders
Moneyline-285 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)+245 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Best NHL sportsbook promos

Start OddsCheckerWidget (lazyOnload)
End OddsCheckerWidget (lazyOnload)

Carolina Hurricanes vs. New York Islanders preview

The New York Islanders roll into PNC Arena Sunday afternoon desperately clinging to their playoff hopes, sitting just one point out of the final Eastern Conference wildcard spot after dropping three straight games following a promising win streak.

Carolina, meanwhile, looks formidable on home ice having won six of their last seven at PNC Arena, where their league-leading penalty kill could spell trouble for an Islanders team that's converted a measly 12% of their power play opportunities.

Though the Isles lead the season series 2-1, the Canes have historically dominated this matchup with a 6-2-2 record in their last 10 meetings, suggesting this final regular-season showdown could tilt in Carolina's favor.

Keep an eye on Sebastian Aho, who's been Carolina's offensive engine with 66 points, while Bo Horvat leads the Islanders' attack with 49 points in what promises to be a crucial game for New York's postseason aspirations.

The goaltending battle features Frederik Andersen (12-5-0, 2.01 GAA) against likely starter Ilya Sorokin, who'll need to significantly improve after allowing four goals on just 19 shots in his last outing.

What makes this matchup particularly intriguing is the stark contrast between Carolina's sixth-ranked defense allowing just 2.64 goals per game against New York's struggling road defense that's surrendered 10 goals in their last three away games.

Factor in that the Islanders are playing on consecutive nights, and you've got a recipe for tired legs against a rested Hurricanes squad looking to pad their one-point lead over Florida in the Eastern Conference standings.

Expect a tense, physical contest as the desperate Islanders fight for their playoff lives against a Hurricanes team that's finding its stride at the perfect time of year.

Key stats

  • 1
    Carolina Hurricanes sit 2nd in Eastern Conference with 92 points while NY Islanders are 11th with 74 points - an 18-point gap
  • 2
    Hurricanes have a goal difference of +40 compared to Islanders' -21, showing Carolina's superior offensive and defensive capabilities
  • 3
    Carolina's recent form (WLWLW) shows 3 wins in their last 5 games, while NY Islanders are struggling with a recent form of LLLLW (4 losses in 5 games)
  • 4
    Carolina has played 72 games with a win percentage of 61.1% (44 wins), while NY Islanders have won only 44.4% of their 72 games (32 wins)

Carolina Hurricanes vs. New York Islanders form

Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes
Latest matches
W
L
W
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 28, 2025
Montreal Canadiens1:4Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 25, 2025
Nashville Predators3:1Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 24, 2025
Anaheim Ducks2:5Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 22, 2025
Los Angeles Kings7:2Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 21, 2025
San Jose Sharks1:3Carolina Hurricanes
New York Islanders
New York Islanders
Latest matches
L
L
L
L
W
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Mar 29, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning5:3New York Islanders
Mar 26, 2025
Vancouver Canucks5:2New York Islanders
Mar 24, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets4:3New York Islanders
Mar 22, 2025
Calgary Flames4:3New York Islanders
Mar 20, 2025
Montreal Canadiens3:4New York Islanders

Carolina Hurricanes vs. New York Islanders head to head

Carolina Hurricanes

50%

New York Islanders

50%

Jan 26, 2025

New York Islanders

3 : 2

Carolina Hurricanes

Dec 18, 2024

Carolina Hurricanes

4 : 0

New York Islanders

Dec 7, 2024

New York Islanders

4 : 3

Carolina Hurricanes

Apr 30, 2024

Carolina Hurricanes

6 : 3

New York Islanders

Apr 27, 2024

New York Islanders

3 : 2

Carolina Hurricanes

Apr 25, 2024

New York Islanders

2 : 3

Carolina Hurricanes