In what shapes up as a matchup between two teams enduring dismal seasons, the New Orleans Pelicans (20-54) welcome the Charlotte Hornets (18-55) to Smoothie King Center on Sunday night with both clubs desperate to salvage something from their disappointing campaigns.

The spotlight falls on each team's offensive woes - Charlotte ranks dead last in shooting efficiency while sitting 29th in offensive rating, and New Orleans hasn't fared much better with the NBA's worst defensive rating and a 24th-ranked offense hampered by injuries to key contributors like Zion Williamson and CJ McCollum.

Home-court advantage might prove decisive for the Pelicans against a Hornets squad riding a four-game losing streak and missing several starters including LaMelo Ball, who torched New Orleans for 25 points in their previous meeting when the home team demolished the away team by 31 points in January.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Charlotte Hornets prediction: who will win?

For tonight's New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets matchup, our predictive model gives the Pelicans a 58.25% chance of defeating the Hornets.

New Orleans Pelicans: 58.25% win probability

  • Higher offensive production (8166 points scored compared to Hornets' 7714)
  • Better recent form with a win in their last five games (LWLLW vs Hornets' LLLLW)
  • Home court advantage with slightly better overall record (20-54 vs Hornets' 18-55)

Charlotte Hornets: 41.75% win probability

  • Worst offensive output in the Eastern Conference (7714 points, lowest among all teams)
  • Dismal recent form with four losses in their last five games (LLLLW)
  • Poor road performance as indicated by their league-worst 18-55 record in the Eastern Conference

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Charlotte Hornets odds

Here are the latest odds for the NBA matchup between the Charlotte Hornets visiting the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday, March 30.

New Orleans PelicansCharlotte Hornets
Moneyline-148 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)+130 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Charlotte Hornets preview

The Pelicans host the Hornets at Smoothie King Center in a clash between two teams that have essentially mailed in their season, with both squads dealing with significant injury issues that have derailed any hopes they had back in October.

Charlotte enters on a miserable four-game skid and brings the NBA's worst shooting efficiency to New Orleans, though they've shown flashes when crashing the offensive glass, ranking sixth in offensive rebounding rate.

The Hornets walloped the Pelicans by 31 points in their January meeting, but they'll be limping into this one without LaMelo Ball, Brandon Miller, and several other key contributors.

New Orleans hasn't fared much better, going just 2-6 in their last eight games while boasting the NBA's worst defensive rating—a stunning fall from grace for a team that had playoff aspirations.

Home court could prove decisive, as the Pelicans have managed 13 of their 20 wins at the Smoothie King Center this season, while Charlotte has gone winless in their last four road games.

Both teams are shooting brick after brick—the Hornets rank dead last in true shooting percentage while the Pelicans aren't much better at 24th—making this a game where second-chance points might actually determine the winner.

Karlo Matkovic might be someone to watch after dropping 19 points on efficient 7-of-11 shooting against the 76ers in the Pelicans' last outing.

With the regular season winding down and lottery positioning on the line, this basement battle might not feature pretty basketball, but it'll certainly give us a glimpse of which young players might factor into these franchises' futures.

Key stats

  • 1
    Both teams rank near the bottom of their respective conferences with the Pelicans 14th in the West (20-54) and Hornets 14th in the East (18-55)
  • 2
    The Pelicans have a slightly better recent form (LWLLW) compared to the Hornets who have lost four straight games (LLLLW)
  • 3
    New Orleans has scored significantly more points this season with 8166 goals compared to Charlotte's 7714
  • 4
    Both teams struggle defensively with the Pelicans allowing 8813 goals against while the Hornets have allowed 8313

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Charlotte Hornets form

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
Latest matches
L
W
L
L
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 29, 2025
Golden State Warriors111:95New Orleans Pelicans
Mar 25, 2025
Philadelphia 76ers99:112New Orleans Pelicans
Mar 23, 2025
Detroit Pistons136:130New Orleans Pelicans
Mar 22, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves134:93New Orleans Pelicans
Mar 20, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves115:119New Orleans Pelicans
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
Latest matches
L
L
L
L
W
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Mar 28, 2025
Toronto Raptors108:97Charlotte Hornets
Mar 25, 2025
Orlando Magic111:104Charlotte Hornets
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Heat122:105Charlotte Hornets
Mar 22, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder141:106Charlotte Hornets
Mar 20, 2025
New York Knicks98:115Charlotte Hornets

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Charlotte Hornets head to head

New Orleans Pelicans

80%

Charlotte Hornets

20%

Mar 30, 2025

New Orleans Pelicans

0 : 0

Charlotte Hornets

Jan 26, 2025

Charlotte Hornets

123 : 92

New Orleans Pelicans

Jan 18, 2024

New Orleans Pelicans

132 : 112

Charlotte Hornets

Dec 16, 2023

Charlotte Hornets

107 : 112

New Orleans Pelicans

Jul 13, 2023

New Orleans Pelicans

89 : 83

Charlotte Hornets

Mar 24, 2023

New Orleans Pelicans

115 : 96

Charlotte Hornets