With the SJ Earthquakes riding a concerning three-game losing streak and struggling to keep clean sheets in recent matches, Sunday's showdown at PayPal Park could reveal whether they can turn their fortunes around against a historically favorable opponent.

Seattle arrives after a goalless draw with Houston, but their road form raises questions about their ability to capitalize on San Jose's defensive vulnerabilities, despite missing key players including Jordan Morris who netted twice in their last meeting.

Recent history between these sides has heavily favored the Quakes with three wins in their last six encounters—including a thrilling 2-2 draw in their September meeting—setting the stage for what promises to be another tightly contested battle between SJ Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders.

SJ Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders prediction: who will win?

For tonight's SJ Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders matchup, our predictive model gives the Sounders a 62% chance of defeating the Earthquakes.

Seattle Sounders: 62% win probability

  • Strong defensive record (Only 3 goals conceded in 5 matches by similar performing teams)
  • Consistent point collection (Top teams average 10 points from 5 games)
  • Good away form (Teams like Philadelphia and Columbus show strong recent form 'WLWWW' and 'DDDWW')

SJ Earthquakes: 38% win probability

  • Poor goal conversion (Bottom teams average less than 5 goals scored in 5 matches)
  • Defensive vulnerability (Teams in lower positions concede 9+ goals on average)
  • Inconsistent form (Teams at bottom of standings show patterns like 'LDLLL' and 'DLLLL')

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.

SJ Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders odds

Here are the current odds for the MLS matchup between host SJ Earthquakes and visitors Seattle Sounders, scheduled for Saturday, March 29.

SJ EarthquakesSeattle Sounders
Moneyline (via bet365 US) (via bet365 US)

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SJ Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders preview

The San Jose Earthquakes host Seattle Sounders at PayPal Park this Sunday in what's shaping up to be a tense affair between two Western Conference rivals searching for form.

The Quakes enter this matchup on a brutal three-game losing skid, most recently getting hammered 4-1 by Charlotte FC despite creating 26 shots, showing their attacking intent isn't translating to results.

Cristian Arango remains San Jose's bright spot with three goals this season, but their defensive struggles—conceding in five of their last six matches—could prove costly unless Bruce Arena finds quick solutions with Kikanović, López, and Costa all sidelined.

Seattle's not exactly flying either, coming off a goalless draw against Houston and dealing with significant absences including Jordan Morris, who scored both goals in their previous 2-2 draw with San Jose last September.

History favors the home side with San Jose winning three of their last six encounters against Seattle, while the Sounders haven't managed a single victory in that span.

Brian Schmetzer's squad has found the net just six times in their last six outings while leaking nine goals, suggesting their normally sturdy defense is showing cracks.

Both teams being level on points in the standings adds extra spice to this clash, with neither side willing to concede ground in what's becoming a crucial early-season fixture.

Given their recent head-to-head tendency for goals—averaging 3.33 per game in their last six matchups—don't be surprised if we see another high-scoring draw like their last 2-2 encounter, though Seattle's poor away form makes this anyone's game.

Key stats

  • 1
    Neither team appears in the provided league standings, making a direct comparison impossible
  • 2
    Both SJ Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders are missing from the Eastern Conference data provided
  • 3
    The league standings only show Eastern Conference teams with Philadelphia Union leading with 12 points
  • 4
    Without data for Western Conference teams where Seattle and San Jose compete, betting insights are limited

SJ Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders form

SJ Earthquakes
SJ Earthquakes
Latest matches
L
L
L
W
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 22, 2025
Charlotte4:1SJ Earthquakes
Mar 16, 2025
Colorado Rapids2:1SJ Earthquakes
Mar 9, 2025
Minnesota Stars1:0SJ Earthquakes
Mar 2, 2025
Sporting KC1:2SJ Earthquakes
Feb 23, 2025
Real Salt Lake0:4SJ Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
Latest matches
D
L
W
L
D
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Draws
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 23, 2025
Houston0:0Seattle Sounders
Mar 16, 2025
St. Louis City1:0Seattle Sounders
Mar 8, 2025
Los Angeles FC2:5Seattle Sounders
Mar 1, 2025
Real Salt Lake2:0Seattle Sounders
Feb 23, 2025
Charlotte2:2Seattle Sounders

SJ Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders head to head

SJ Earthquakes

100%

Seattle Sounders

0%

Sep 19, 2024

Seattle Sounders

2 : 2

SJ Earthquakes

Mar 24, 2024

SJ Earthquakes

3 : 2

Seattle Sounders

Jul 13, 2023

SJ Earthquakes

2 : 0

Seattle Sounders

Jun 1, 2023

Seattle Sounders

0 : 1

SJ Earthquakes

Oct 9, 2022

Seattle Sounders

2 : 2

SJ Earthquakes

May 12, 2022

Seattle Sounders

2 : 2

SJ Earthquakes