Spurs vs Warriors Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 3/30/2025

The struggling Golden State Warriors will face the gritty San Antonio Spurs on Sunday night at Frost Bank Center, where they'll seek redemption for their 10-point November loss while trying to recapture the dominance that briefly followed their Jimmy Butler acquisition.

Both teams enter with notable weaknesses—the Warriors shooting a mere 39.8% in their recent Heat blowout while the Spurs continue to battle without Victor Wembanyama—but San Antonio's impressive 3-0 ATS in their last three home games and Golden State's road woes suggest we might see another close contest.

History favors the home team, with the Spurs beating the spread in five of their last six meetings against the away team Warriors, whose strong defense might be neutralized by San Antonio's ninth-lowest turnover rate in the league.

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San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors preview

The Warriors head to Frost Bank Center looking to avenge their 10-point November loss to the Spurs, but Golden State has hit a rough patch lately, going 2-6-2 against the spread in their last ten outings despite their recent 111-95 victory.

Steph Curry's squad brings the NBA's seventh-best defensive rating to San Antonio, where they'll face a Spurs team that's quietly won three straight at home and might give them fits with the league's ninth-lowest turnover rate.

Jonathan Kuminga could be the X-factor for Golden State after contributing 15 points in his last outing, while the Spurs will look to Stephon Castle, who impressed with 22 points, 11 rebounds, and 8 assists in San Antonio's recent matchup.

The absence of Victor Wembanyama continues to loom large for the Spurs' defense, which ranks 25th in defensive rating but still manages to hold opponents to the third-fewest free throw attempts per game.

San Antonio has been money against Golden State recently, covering the spread in five of their last six meetings, suggesting the 11.5-point spread might be a touch generous.

This matchup likely won't be a high-scoring affair if their previous encounter is any indication, with both teams ranking outside the top 15 in true shooting percentage and neither pushing a particularly fast pace.

The Warriors have averaged just 104 points during their current road trip, which doesn't bode well against a Spurs team that, despite their struggles, somehow kept Golden State under 100 points in their first meeting.

I've got my eye on the home underdogs here - the Spurs might not win outright, but their strong ball security and recent home form make them an intriguing bet to keep things closer than Vegas expects.