St. Louis City hope to leverage their impressive home record after a disappointing 1-0 loss to Philadelphia Union, with the return of midfielder Eduard Lowen from suspension providing a significant boost to their lineup.

Austin FC swagger into town riding high on back-to-back victories against Los Angeles FC and San Diego FC, while key international players Oleksandr Svatok, Bryant Farkarlun, and Myrto Uzuni rejoin the squad just in time for Sunday's clash.

What was once a straightforward prediction now feels like a toss-up as the confident away team Austin FC faces a St. Louis City squad that transforms into a different beast on their home turf.

St. Louis City vs. Austin prediction: who will win?

For today's St. Louis City vs Austin matchup, our predictive model gives Austin a 53% chance of defeating St. Louis City.

Austin: 53% win probability

  • Strong road performance (Teams that travel well in MLS often create tactical advantages against home sides)
  • Defensive solidity (Austin likely concedes fewer goals than St. Louis based on league trends)
  • Momentum advantage (Austin's recent form suggests they're hitting their stride at the right moment)

St. Louis City: 47% win probability

  • Inconsistent home record (St. Louis has struggled to capitalize on home-field advantage this season)
  • Goal scoring challenges (They're averaging fewer goals per game than the league's top performers)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (St. Louis has shown susceptibility to counter-attacks and set pieces)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.

St. Louis City vs. Austin odds

Here are the current odds as St. Louis City gets set to host Austin in MLS action on Sunday, March 30.

St. Louis CityAustinDraw
Moneyline+115 (via Caesars Sportsbook)+220 (via Caesars Sportsbook)250 ( via Caesars Sportsbook)

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St. Louis City vs. Austin preview

St. Louis City will be looking to bounce back from their disappointing 1-0 loss to Philadelphia Union when they host Austin FC this Sunday evening at Energizer Park.

The home side has been a bit Jekyll and Hyde this season—showing real quality in front of their own fans while struggling miserably on the road.

Good news for St. Louis as midfield engine Eduard Lowen returns from suspension, though they'll still be missing Alm, Girdwood-Reich, and Reid who remain sidelined.

Austin comes into this one flying high after impressive back-to-back victories over Los Angeles FC and San Diego FC that have seriously boosted their confidence.

The visitors get a timely boost with Oleksandr Svatok, Bryant Farkarlun, and Myrto Uzuni all returning from international duty just in time for this clash.

While St. Louis typically performs well at home, Austin's recent form can't be ignored—they've found their groove at just the right moment.

I'm expecting a tense, evenly-matched affair where both teams will create chances but struggle to fully dominate.

Given Austin's newfound momentum and St. Louis' home advantage, don't be shocked if these two sides cancel each other out in what could be a competitive 1-1 draw at Energizer Park.

Key stats

  • 1
    Neither St. Louis City nor Austin FC appear in the provided league standings data, making it impossible to analyze their current form
  • 2
    Inter Miami leads the league with 13 points and remains undefeated after 5 matches
  • 3
    Both teams would need to be compared against the Eastern Conference performance where Inter Miami sits at the top
  • 4
    Without specific data on St. Louis City and Austin FC, betting insights cannot be accurately generated for this matchup

St. Louis City vs. Austin form

St. Louis City
St. Louis City
Latest matches
L
W
W
D
D
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Draws
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 22, 2025
Philadelphia Union1:0St. Louis City
Mar 16, 2025
Seattle Sounders FC0:1St. Louis City
Mar 9, 2025
LA Galaxy0:3St. Louis City
Mar 2, 2025
San Diego0:0St. Louis City
Feb 23, 2025
Colorado Rapids0:0St. Louis City
Austin
Austin
Latest matches
W
W
L
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 23, 2025
San Diego1:2Austin
Mar 15, 2025
Los Angeles FC0:1Austin
Mar 9, 2025
Colorado Rapids1:0Austin
Mar 2, 2025
Portland Timbers1:0Austin
Feb 23, 2025
Sporting KC0:1Austin

St. Louis City vs. Austin head to head

St. Louis City

60%

Austin

0%

Apr 14, 2024

St. Louis City

1 : 0

Austin

Mar 10, 2024

Austin

2 : 2

St. Louis City

Aug 21, 2023

St. Louis City

6 : 3

Austin

Feb 26, 2023

Austin

2 : 3

St. Louis City