The second-seeded Houston Rockets bring their scorching momentum (winners in 12 of their last 13) into Crypto.com Arena tonight, where they'll face a Lakers squad looking to capitalize on their home-court advantage and rest edge against a team on the second night of a back-to-back.

Fatigue could be a major factor as Houston's stellar defense (third in efficiency) attempts to contain LA's formidable trio of Doncic, James, and Reaves—who combined for 85 points in their last outing against Memphis.

This Western Conference battle carries serious playoff implications as the Los Angeles Lakers aim to protect their home floor against the surging Houston Rockets in what promises to be an intense matchup of contrasting styles.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets matchup, our predictive model gives the Lakers a 71% chance of defeating the Rockets.

Los Angeles Lakers: 71% win probability

  • Home court advantage (Lakers positioned 4th in Western Conference)
  • Defensive efficiency (Lakers allowing just 8319 points against this season)
  • Offensive firepower (Lakers averaging 113.2 points per game)

Houston Rockets: 29% win probability

  • Road performance struggles (26 losses so far this season)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (Rockets have allowed 8186 points against)
  • Inconsistent recent form (WWLWW shows instability against tough opponents)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets odds

Here are the current odds for the NBA matchup featuring the Houston Rockets visiting the Los Angeles Lakers at home on Monday, March 31.

Los Angeles LakersHouston Rockets
Moneyline-185 (via bet365 US)+166 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets preview

The red-hot Rockets storm into Crypto.com Arena riding an impressive 12-1 stretch over their last 13 games, but they'll face a tough challenge against the Lakers on the second night of a back-to-back road trip.

Houston's dynamic duo of Jalen Green (21.3 PPG) and Alperen Sengun has been terrorizing opponents, with Sengun coming off a monster 33-point, 10-rebound performance against Utah.

The Lakers, finally at full strength and beginning a crucial three-game homestand, will counter with their formidable triple threat of LeBron James, Luka Doncic, and Austin Reaves—who collectively lit up Memphis in their last outing.

Despite sitting second in the Western Conference, Houston's lackluster outside shooting (ranking 24th in 3PT% at 34.7%) could spell trouble against a Lakers squad that's won ten straight home games against Western Conference opponents following a win.

L.A.'s experience and rest advantage might prove decisive as they look to improve their playoff positioning in an extremely tight Western Conference race.

The January meeting saw Houston escape with a narrow 119-115 victory as 4.5-point home favorites, but the Lakers' home court edge could flip the script this time around.

Keep an eye on Doncic, who's been absolutely unstoppable this month, averaging a blistering 30.8 points and 8.6 assists per game.

This clash of contrasting styles—Houston's stifling defense (3rd in adjusted defensive efficiency) against L.A.'s offensive firepower—should make for compelling late-night hoops as both teams jockey for playoff positioning.

Key stats

  • 1
    Houston Rockets (2nd in Western Conference) have a better league position than Los Angeles Lakers (4th in Western Conference)
  • 2
    Lakers have a worse recent form (WLWLL) compared to Rockets' stronger momentum (WWWLW)
  • 3
    Rockets have played one more game (75) than Lakers (74) this season, giving them more experience
  • 4
    Houston shows a better point differential (+377) than LA (+56), indicating stronger overall performance

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets form

Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
Latest matches
W
L
W
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 30, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies127:134Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 28, 2025
Chicago Bulls119:117Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 26, 2025
Indiana Pacers119:120Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 24, 2025
Orlando Magic118:106Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 23, 2025
Chicago Bulls146:115Los Angeles Lakers
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 28, 2025
Utah Jazz110:121Houston Rockets
Mar 26, 2025
Atlanta Hawks114:121Houston Rockets
Mar 23, 2025
Denver Nuggets116:111Houston Rockets
Mar 22, 2025
Miami Heat98:102Houston Rockets
Mar 19, 2025
Orlando Magic108:116Houston Rockets

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets head to head

Los Angeles Lakers

33%

Houston Rockets

67%

Jan 6, 2025

Houston Rockets

119 : 115

Los Angeles Lakers

Jul 12, 2024

Los Angeles Lakers

80 : 99

Houston Rockets

Jan 30, 2024

Houston Rockets

135 : 119

Los Angeles Lakers

Dec 3, 2023

Los Angeles Lakers

107 : 97

Houston Rockets

Nov 20, 2023

Los Angeles Lakers

105 : 104

Houston Rockets

Nov 9, 2023

Houston Rockets

128 : 94

Los Angeles Lakers