The second-seeded Houston Rockets bring their scorching momentum (winners in 12 of their last 13) into Crypto.com Arena tonight, where they'll face a Lakers squad looking to capitalize on their home-court advantage and rest edge against a team on the second night of a back-to-back.
Fatigue could be a major factor as Houston's stellar defense (third in efficiency) attempts to contain LA's formidable trio of Doncic, James, and Reaves—who combined for 85 points in their last outing against Memphis.
This Western Conference battle carries serious playoff implications as the Los Angeles Lakers aim to protect their home floor against the surging Houston Rockets in what promises to be an intense matchup of contrasting styles.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets matchup, our predictive model gives the Lakers a 71% chance of defeating the Rockets.
Los Angeles Lakers: 71% win probability
- Home court advantage (Lakers positioned 4th in Western Conference)
- Defensive efficiency (Lakers allowing just 8319 points against this season)
- Offensive firepower (Lakers averaging 113.2 points per game)
Houston Rockets: 29% win probability
- Road performance struggles (26 losses so far this season)
- Defensive vulnerabilities (Rockets have allowed 8186 points against)
- Inconsistent recent form (WWLWW shows instability against tough opponents)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets odds
Here are the current odds for the NBA matchup featuring the Houston Rockets visiting the Los Angeles Lakers at home on Monday, March 31.
Los Angeles Lakers | Houston Rockets | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -185 (via bet365 US) | +166 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
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Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets preview
The red-hot Rockets storm into Crypto.com Arena riding an impressive 12-1 stretch over their last 13 games, but they'll face a tough challenge against the Lakers on the second night of a back-to-back road trip.
Houston's dynamic duo of Jalen Green (21.3 PPG) and Alperen Sengun has been terrorizing opponents, with Sengun coming off a monster 33-point, 10-rebound performance against Utah.
The Lakers, finally at full strength and beginning a crucial three-game homestand, will counter with their formidable triple threat of LeBron James, Luka Doncic, and Austin Reaves—who collectively lit up Memphis in their last outing.
Despite sitting second in the Western Conference, Houston's lackluster outside shooting (ranking 24th in 3PT% at 34.7%) could spell trouble against a Lakers squad that's won ten straight home games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
L.A.'s experience and rest advantage might prove decisive as they look to improve their playoff positioning in an extremely tight Western Conference race.
The January meeting saw Houston escape with a narrow 119-115 victory as 4.5-point home favorites, but the Lakers' home court edge could flip the script this time around.
Keep an eye on Doncic, who's been absolutely unstoppable this month, averaging a blistering 30.8 points and 8.6 assists per game.
This clash of contrasting styles—Houston's stifling defense (3rd in adjusted defensive efficiency) against L.A.'s offensive firepower—should make for compelling late-night hoops as both teams jockey for playoff positioning.
Key stats
- 1Houston Rockets (2nd in Western Conference) have a better league position than Los Angeles Lakers (4th in Western Conference)
- 2Lakers have a worse recent form (WLWLL) compared to Rockets' stronger momentum (WWWLW)
- 3Rockets have played one more game (75) than Lakers (74) this season, giving them more experience
- 4Houston shows a better point differential (+377) than LA (+56), indicating stronger overall performance
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets form


Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets head to head
Los Angeles Lakers
33%
Houston Rockets
67%
Jan 6, 2025
Houston Rockets
119 : 115
Los Angeles Lakers
Jul 12, 2024
Los Angeles Lakers
80 : 99
Houston Rockets
Jan 30, 2024
Houston Rockets
135 : 119
Los Angeles Lakers
Dec 3, 2023
Los Angeles Lakers
107 : 97
Houston Rockets
Nov 20, 2023
Los Angeles Lakers
105 : 104
Houston Rockets
Nov 9, 2023
Houston Rockets
128 : 94
Los Angeles Lakers
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