The Dallas Mavericks host the Brooklyn Nets tonight in a matchup with massive playoff implications for the home team, who sit precariously in 9th place in the Western Conference – just 1½ games away from missing the postseason entirely.

Dallas enters with momentum after winning four of their last five games, including a nail-biting victory over Chicago, while Brooklyn's struggling offense faces an uphill battle without leading scorer Cam Thomas, though their defense has proven surprisingly solid, ranking ninth in points allowed.

All eyes will be on Anthony Davis, who's slowly finding his rhythm after returning from injury, as the Dallas Mavericks look to repeat their dominant performance against the Brooklyn Nets from their previous 120-101 win just a week ago.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Brooklyn Nets prediction: who will win?

For today's Dallas Mavericks vs Brooklyn Nets matchup, our predictive model gives the Mavs a 56.75% chance of defeating the Nets.

Dallas Mavericks: 56.75% win probability

  • Higher league standing (9th in Western Conference vs 12th in Eastern Conference)
  • Stronger recent form (WWLWW compared to Nets' WLLLL)
  • Superior offense (8622 points scored vs Nets' 7883, showing better scoring capabilities)

Brooklyn Nets: 43.25% win probability

  • Poor road performance (reflected in their overall 24-51 record, one of the worst in the Eastern Conference)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (allowed 8391 points, showing gaps in their defensive structure)
  • Struggling momentum (recent form of WLLLL indicates consistent difficulties closing games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Brooklyn Nets odds

Here are the latest odds as the Dallas Mavericks host the Brooklyn Nets in NBA action on Monday, March 31.

Dallas MavericksBrooklyn Nets
Moneyline-480 (via Caesars Sportsbook)+400 (via bet365 US)

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Brooklyn Nets preview

The struggling Brooklyn Nets (24-51), fresh off snapping a six-game losing streak with a win over Washington, face a crucial test against a Dallas Mavericks team (37-38) fighting for their playoff lives at American Airlines Center tomorrow night.

Dallas has hit their stride lately, winning four of their last five, but they'll be without key contributors Kyrie Irving and Dante Exum as they cling to the 9th spot in the Western Conference, just 1½ games ahead of 11th place.

Anthony Davis has been ramping up his production since returning from injury, scoring 12, 15, and 18 points in his last three games, while the Nets will lean on Cameron Johnson (18.8 ppg) with leading scorer Cam Thomas sidelined for the season.

The offensive contrast couldn't be starker – Brooklyn ranks dead last in NBA scoring at 105.1 ppg while Dallas sits comfortably at 12th with 115 ppg.

When these teams met just a week ago, the Mavericks dominated en route to a 120-101 victory in Davis's first game back from his February injury.

Brooklyn's lack of continuity with several new faces seeing significant minutes has been painfully evident against more talented opposition.

The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 11 games and all of Brooklyn's last seven games against Western Conference opponents, suggesting we might see more scoring than the Nets' offensive struggles would indicate.

While Dallas needs this win desperately to maintain playoff position, don't count out the scrappy Nets, who've been a profitable 40-34-1 against the spread this season despite their dismal record.

Key stats

  • 1
    Dallas Mavericks (9th in West) have won 3 of their last 5 games (WWLWW) while Brooklyn Nets (12th in East) have lost 4 of their last 5 (WLLLL)
  • 2
    Mavericks have a slightly negative point differential (-14) compared to Brooklyn's much worse differential (-508)
  • 3
    Dallas has a significantly better overall record (37-38) than Brooklyn (24-51) despite playing in the more competitive Western Conference
  • 4
    Dallas averages 115 points per game while Brooklyn averages only 105.1 points per game, suggesting an offensive advantage for the Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks vs. Brooklyn Nets form

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 30, 2025
Chicago Bulls119:120Dallas Mavericks
Mar 27, 2025
Orlando Magic92:101Dallas Mavericks
Mar 25, 2025
New York Knicks128:113Dallas Mavericks
Mar 24, 2025
Brooklyn Nets101:120Dallas Mavericks
Mar 22, 2025
Detroit Pistons117:123Dallas Mavericks
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
Latest matches
W
L
L
L
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Mar 29, 2025
Washington Wizards112:115Brooklyn Nets
Mar 28, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers132:100Brooklyn Nets
Mar 26, 2025
Toronto Raptors116:86Brooklyn Nets
Mar 24, 2025
Dallas Mavericks120:101Brooklyn Nets
Mar 22, 2025
Indiana Pacers108:103Brooklyn Nets

Dallas Mavericks vs. Brooklyn Nets head to head

Dallas Mavericks

100%

Brooklyn Nets

0%

Mar 24, 2025

Brooklyn Nets

101 : 120

Dallas Mavericks

Feb 7, 2024

Brooklyn Nets

107 : 119

Dallas Mavericks

Oct 28, 2023

Dallas Mavericks

125 : 120

Brooklyn Nets

Nov 8, 2022

Dallas Mavericks

96 : 94

Brooklyn Nets

Oct 27, 2022

Brooklyn Nets

125 : 129

Dallas Mavericks

Mar 16, 2022

Brooklyn Nets

111 : 113

Dallas Mavericks