HomeNewsWizards vs Heat Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 3/31/2025

Wizards vs Heat Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 3/31/2025

Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat matchup, our predictive model gives the Heat a 77.5% chance of defeating the Wizards.

Miami Heat: 77.5% win probability

Superior win-loss record (33-41 compared to Wizards' 16-58)
Better offensive efficiency (8103 points scored in 74 games)
Impressive recent form (WWWWL, won 4 of last 5 games)

Washington Wizards: 22.5% win probability

Poor defensive performance (8949 points allowed, second-worst in the league)
Dismal recent form (LLWLL, lost 4 of last 5 games)
League-bottom position (15th in Eastern Conference with only 16 wins in 74 games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat odds

Here are the current odds for the NBA matchup between the Miami Heat and the home team Washington Wizards on Monday, March 31.

	Washington Wizards	Miami Heat
Moneyline	+285 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)	-330 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat preview

The red-hot Miami Heat roll into the Capital One Arena riding a four-game winning streak, looking to complete a season sweep against the struggling Washington Wizards on Monday night.

Tyler Herro has been lighting it up for Miami, coming off a spectacular 30-point performance against the 76ers where his shooting touch helped the Heat drain an impressive 20 three-pointers.

The Wizards, meanwhile, can't seem to catch a break, dropping seven of their last eight games including a heartbreaker against the Nets where they blew a 17-point lead.

Young guns AJ Johnson and Colby Jones showed some promise with 20 points each in that loss, but Washington's league-worst rebounding defense (48.4 opponent rebounds per game) could spell trouble against Bam Adebayo and company.

Both squads will be shorthanded - Miami missing Duncan Robinson, Andrew Wiggins and Kevin Love, while Washington continues without Khris Middleton and others.

The Heat have dominated this matchup recently, winning their previous two encounters this season by double digits despite ranking dead last in fourth-quarter scoring.

If Jordan Poole can't find his shooting touch (he managed just 12 points last game) and the Wizards' defensive rebounding woes continue, expect Miami to keep their momentum going.

Truth is, with the way the Heat are playing right now, it's hard to see the Wizards stopping their slide against a team that seems to have found its rhythm at just the right time.

Key stats

1
Miami Heat (9th in East) has better recent form with WWWWL compared to Washington Wizards' LLWLL at 15th
2
Washington Wizards have the 2nd worst record in the East with only 16 wins in 74 games
3
Miami Heat has a positive goal difference while Washington has the worst differential in the East at -899
4
Washington Wizards are on a 4-game losing streak while Miami has won 4 of their last 5 games