The red-hot Minnesota Timberwolves roll into Ball Arena tonight looking to complete their first season sweep of the Denver Nuggets since 2002-03, bringing their impressive five-game winning streak against the defending champs into a crucial Northwest Division showdown.

With both Naz Reid and Donte DiVincenzo suspended following Sunday's scuffle against Detroit, Minnesota faces an uphill battle against a Denver squad that's finally finding its rhythm behind Nikola Jokic's dominance and potentially welcoming back Jamal Murray from a hamstring injury.

The shorthanded Timberwolves will need Anthony Edwards to continue his scoring tear if they hope to upset the Nuggets, who desperately need this win to maintain their position in the crowded Western Conference standings as the Denver Nuggets host the Minnesota Timberwolves in what promises to be a physical, high-stakes encounter.

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves matchup, our predictive model gives the Nuggets a 59% chance of defeating the Wolves.

Denver Nuggets: 59% win probability

  • Superior offensive firepower (9066 points scored this season, 500+ more than Minnesota)
  • Better league position (3rd in Western Conference vs Minnesota's 7th place)
  • Strong home court advantage (47-28 overall record suggests home court success)

Minnesota Timberwolves: 41% win probability

  • Inconsistent recent form (WWLWL in last five games shows unpredictability)
  • Defensive vulnerability (8193 points allowed is higher than Denver's home efficiency)
  • Road game disadvantage (43-32 overall record likely includes more losses on the road)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves odds

Here are the latest odds for the NBA showdown between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the home team Denver Nuggets this Tuesday, April 01.

Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Moneyline-148 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)+143 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

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Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves head into Ball Arena Tuesday night looking to complete their first-ever season sweep against the Denver Nuggets since 2002-03, having dominated the reigning champs in their previous three matchups this season.

Both squads enter this Northwest Division showdown on similar trajectories, winning three of their last four games, but Minnesota's task just got tougher with key bench contributors Naz Reid and Donte DiVincenzo suspended following their involvement in that second-quarter scuffle against Detroit.

The Nuggets, sitting third in the Western Conference, are hoping to see Jamal Murray back in action after he missed Friday's game with a hamstring issue, while they'll lean heavily on MVP frontrunner Nikola Jokic, who's been unstoppable lately, posting 27 points and 14 rebounds in their last outing against Utah.

Minnesota's Anthony Edwards (27.2 PPG) and newcomer Julius Randle, fresh off a 26-point performance against Detroit, will need to shoulder even more offensive responsibility with their bench depleted.

Despite their recent dominance over Denver, going 5-0 in their last five meetings, the T-Wolves might struggle to continue this streak while shorthanded in the high-altitude environment of Denver.

The contrasting styles make this matchup particularly fascinating – Minnesota's defensive-minded approach (holding opponents to just 109.2 PPG) against Denver's league-leading offensive juggernaut (120.9 PPG and 50.7% from the field).

Denver's home crowd will be hungry for revenge after watching their team get embarrassed 115-95 by these same Timberwolves just three weeks ago on their home floor.

With playoff seeding implications on the line – Minnesota fighting to climb out of the play-in tournament position while Denver looks to hold off the surging Lakers – this late-season clash promises to deliver the intensity of a potential playoff preview.

Key stats

  • 1
    Denver Nuggets are 3rd in Western Conference with 47 wins while Timberwolves are 7th with 43 wins
  • 2
    Denver has scored more points (9066) than Minnesota (8536) this season
  • 3
    Both teams have similar recent form with Denver at WWLWL and Minnesota at WWLWL
  • 4
    Denver has a worse defensive record allowing 8751 points compared to Minnesota's 8193

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves form

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 29, 2025
Utah Jazz93:129Denver Nuggets
Mar 27, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks117:127Denver Nuggets
Mar 25, 2025
Chicago Bulls129:119Denver Nuggets
Mar 23, 2025
Houston Rockets111:116Denver Nuggets
Mar 22, 2025
Portland Trail Blazers128:109Denver Nuggets
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 30, 2025
Detroit Pistons104:123Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 29, 2025
Phoenix Suns109:124Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 24, 2025
Indiana Pacers119:103Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 22, 2025
New Orleans Hornets93:134Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 20, 2025
New Orleans Hornets119:115Minnesota Timberwolves

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves head to head

Denver Nuggets

50%

Minnesota Timberwolves

50%

Mar 13, 2025

Denver Nuggets

95 : 115

Minnesota Timberwolves

Jan 25, 2025

Minnesota Timberwolves

133 : 104

Denver Nuggets

Nov 2, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

119 : 116

Denver Nuggets

Oct 18, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

126 : 132

Denver Nuggets

May 20, 2024

Denver Nuggets

90 : 98

Minnesota Timberwolves

May 17, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

115 : 70

Denver Nuggets