The Orlando Magic roll into the Frost Bank Center riding the momentum of four wins in their last five games, hoping to leapfrog Atlanta for the Southeast Division lead while facing a San Antonio squad desperate to snap their four-game losing skid.
With Paolo Banchero dropping 24 points in their last outing and the Magic boasting the league's second-best defensive efficiency, Orlando brings a formidable challenge to a Spurs team that's surrendered a troubling 130+ points per game during their recent slide.
The battle between defensive-minded Magic and the higher-scoring Spurs promises intrigue as San Antonio Spurs hope home court advantage might help turn the tide against the Orlando Magic.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Orlando Magic prediction: who will win?
For tonight's San Antonio Spurs vs Orlando Magic matchup, our predictive model gives the Magic a 67.67% chance of defeating the Spurs.
Orlando Magic: 67.67% win probability
- Superior record (36-40 compared to Spurs' 31-43)
- Better defensive efficiency (8033 points allowed vs Spurs' 8644)
- Higher Eastern Conference standing (8th vs Spurs' 13th in Western)
San Antonio Spurs: 32.33% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLLLW indicates 4 losses in last 5 games)
- Defensive struggles (8644 points allowed, higher than league average)
- Lower win percentage (41.9% compared to Magic's 47.4%)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Orlando Magic odds
Here are the latest odds for the NBA matchup between the Orlando Magic and the San Antonio Spurs, who have home-court advantage, on Tuesday, April 01.
San Antonio Spurs | Orlando Magic | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | +148 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | -170 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) |
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San Antonio Spurs vs. Orlando Magic preview
The Magic head to Frost Bank Center riding a surge of momentum with four wins in their last five outings, looking to leapfrog Atlanta for the Southeast Division's top spot while continuing their impressive road form against a struggling Spurs squad.
San Antonio, meanwhile, finds itself in a four-game tailspin, surrendering a concerning 130+ points per game during this slide - a defensive vulnerability Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner are likely salivating over.
Banchero's been a force for Orlando, dropping 24 points with six boards and six dimes in their recent demolition of Sacramento, while the Spurs will lean heavily on Keldon Johnson's scoring punch in Victor Wembanyama's absence.
Despite their current struggles, history favors the home team as San Antonio has won six of their last ten meetings against Orlando and has been particularly dominant when hosting the Magic after a loss, winning nine of their last ten such matchups.
Both teams' injury reports are worth monitoring - Orlando could be without Jalen Suggs and Moritz Wagner, while the Spurs are missing several key contributors including their French phenom Wembanyama.
The contrasting defensive approaches should make for fascinating viewing: Orlando leads the league in blocks (5.9 per game) and ranks second in defensive efficiency, while San Antonio's porous defense has been their undoing.
I'm just not seeing how the Spurs patch together enough stops to contain Orlando's attack, especially with the Magic finding their rhythm from beyond the arc in recent games.
Look for Orlando to extend their road winning streak to four straight, though San Antonio's home crowd might keep things interesting until the final frame.
Key stats
- 1Orlando Magic currently sits 8th in Eastern Conference (36-40) while Spurs are 13th in West (31-43)
- 2San Antonio Spurs have lost 4 of their last 5 games (LLLLW) compared to Orlando's winning 3 of their last 5 (LWLWW)
- 3The Spurs have a worse scoring differential (-196) than the Magic (-62), suggesting Orlando is more competitive in their losses
- 4Orlando Magic has played one more game (76) than San Antonio Spurs (74) which could factor into fatigue levels for this matchup
San Antonio Spurs vs. Orlando Magic form


San Antonio Spurs vs. Orlando Magic head to head
San Antonio Spurs
33%
Orlando Magic
67%
Feb 9, 2025
Orlando Magic
112 : 111
San Antonio Spurs
Oct 10, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
107 : 97
Orlando Magic
Feb 9, 2024
Orlando Magic
127 : 111
San Antonio Spurs
Feb 1, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
98 : 108
Orlando Magic
Mar 15, 2023
San Antonio Spurs
132 : 114
Orlando Magic
Dec 24, 2022
Orlando Magic
133 : 113
San Antonio Spurs
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