HomeNewsMavericks vs Hawks Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 4/2/2025

Mavericks vs Hawks Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 4/2/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks matchup, our predictive model gives the Mavs a 54.33% chance of defeating the Hawks.

Dallas Mavericks: 54.33% win probability

Higher offensive output (8731 points scored compared to Hawks' 8835 despite playing one more game)
Better win percentage (48.7% vs 48% for the Hawks)
Stronger recent form (LWWLW vs Hawks' LWLLW, showing better momentum in recent games)

Atlanta Hawks: 45.67% win probability

Poor defensive record (8966 points conceded, one of the highest in the Eastern Conference)
Road game disadvantage (playing away against a Western Conference team that performs well at home)
Inconsistent performance (recent form shows alternating wins and losses, suggesting lack of stability)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks odds

Here are the latest odds for the NBA matchup between the Atlanta Hawks and the home team Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday, April 02.

	Dallas Mavericks	Atlanta Hawks
Moneyline	-165 (via Caesars Sportsbook)	+162 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks preview

The Dallas Mavericks host the Atlanta Hawks at American Airlines Center on Wednesday night in what shapes up as a crucial battle between two teams fighting for play-in tournament positioning.

Both squads are coming off contrasting performances - the Hawks demolished the Bucks 145-124 with rookie Zaccharie Risacher exploding for 36 points, while the Mavs suffered a tough 113-109 loss to Brooklyn after blowing a double-digit lead.

Dallas won their only previous meeting this season 129-119 back in November, but they'll be shorthanded without Kyrie Irving who's sidelined with an ACL tear.

The Hawks boast the NBA's fifth-ranked scoring offense (117.9 PPG) led by Trae Young's 24.1 points and 11.5 assists, but their defensive woes (allowing 119.4 PPG) could prove problematic against a Mavs team that punishes poor defenders.

Daniel Gafford has stepped up for Dallas, coming off a 17-point performance on 7-of-9 shooting against the Nets, while Anthony Davis being listed as probable provides a massive boost for the Mavericks' frontcourt.

History doesn't favor Atlanta in this matchup – the over has hit in 18 of their 28 games against Western Conference opponents this season, suggesting we might see a high-scoring affair.

Expect the well-rested Mavericks, playing on their home court and fighting to solidify their play-in spot, to attack Atlanta's leaky defense (ranked 27th in points allowed) relentlessly.

With Dallas holding a two-game cushion over Phoenix for the West's final play-in spot and Atlanta sitting five games behind Milwaukee for the East's sixth seed, both teams will be desperate for a win in what should be an entertaining, offense-heavy showdown.

Key stats

1
Dallas (9th in West) has a better position than Atlanta (8th in East), despite similar 37-39 vs 36-39 records
2
Both teams show inconsistent form with Dallas at LWWLW while Atlanta has LWLLW in recent games
3
Dallas scores more (8731) but also concedes more (8749) than Atlanta (8835 scored, 8966 conceded)
4
Dallas has played one more game (76) than Atlanta (75), giving Atlanta slight scheduling advantage