The battle for Pacific Division supremacy heats up Thursday night as the Los Angeles Lakers aim to complete their first season sweep of the Warriors since 2019-20, while Golden State rides into town on a three-game winning streak fueled by Steph Curry's scorching 52-point performance against Memphis.

With the fourth-seeded Lakers holding a slim two-game advantage over the fifth-place Warriors, this showdown features fascinating tactical contrasts - LA's dominance in the paint and league-leading free-throw rate against Golden State's lethal perimeter attack that's connecting on 15.4 threes per game.

Recent history suggests fireworks at Crypto.com Arena where eight of the last nine meetings between these teams have produced high-scoring affairs, setting the stage for what promises to be an electric clash between the Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors matchup, our predictive model gives the Warriors a 58.33% chance of defeating the Lakers.

Golden State Warriors: 58.33% win probability

  • Better defensive efficiency (8315 points allowed compared to Lakers' 8417)
  • Stronger recent form (WWWLL vs Lakers' WWLWL)
  • Higher winning percentage (58.7% vs Lakers' 61.3%)

Los Angeles Lakers: 41.67% win probability

  • Weaker defensive record (8417 points allowed vs Warriors' 8315)
  • Less consistent scoring (8479 points scored vs Warriors' 8528)
  • Lower overall seeding (3rd in Western Conference vs Warriors' 5th position)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors odds

Here are the current odds as the Los Angeles Lakers host the Golden State Warriors in this NBA showdown scheduled for Thursday, April 03.

Los Angeles LakersGolden State Warriors
Moneyline-130 (via Caesars Sportsbook)+116 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors preview

The Lakers welcome the red-hot Warriors to Crypto.com Arena tonight in what promises to be a Pacific Division thriller with serious playoff seeding implications.

Golden State enters on fire, having won 12 of their last 15 games, including a dazzling performance from Steph Curry who dropped 52 points on Memphis last time out, going 12-for-20 from downtown with 10 rebounds.

The Lakers, currently sitting in fourth place in the Western Conference, hold a slim two-game lead over the fifth-place Warriors and will look to complete their first season sweep of Golden State since 2019-20.

Both squads bring contrasting strengths to the table – the Warriors rely heavily on their lethal three-point shooting (15.4 made per game), while the Lakers dominate inside with the league's highest free-throw rate and fifth-best 2-point percentage.

LeBron James and Luka Doncic will need to exploit Golden State's interior defense, though the Lakers' recent struggles defending the perimeter (allowing 39.6% from three over their last seven games) could spell trouble against Curry and company.

The history between these California rivals adds another layer of intrigue – eight of their last nine matchups have gone over the total, suggesting we might be in for an offensive showcase.

The Warriors will be without Gary Payton II (thumb) while Jonathan Kuminga (16 PPG) remains questionable, but the duo of Curry and Jimmy Butler has been nearly unstoppable, with Golden State going 18-2 when both share the floor.

Given the Warriors' momentum and the Lakers' inconsistency against mid-tier teams lately, this showdown could easily go either way, making it a must-watch for basketball fans across the country.

Key stats

  • 1
    Lakers are in 3rd position in Western Conference with 46 wins in 75 games, while Warriors are in 5th position with 44 wins in 75 games
  • 2
    Lakers have scored more points (8479) but also conceded more (8417) compared to Warriors (8528 scored, 8315 conceded)
  • 3
    Recent form shows Lakers at WWLWL while Warriors are at WWWLL - both teams have 2 losses in their last 3 games
  • 4
    Warriors have a slightly better defensive record with 8315 points against compared to Lakers' 8417 points against

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors form

Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Apr 1, 2025
Houston Rockets98:104Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 30, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies127:134Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 28, 2025
Chicago Bulls119:117Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 26, 2025
Indiana Pacers119:120Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 24, 2025
Orlando Magic118:106Los Angeles Lakers
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
Latest matches
W
W
W
L
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Apr 2, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies125:134Golden State Warriors
Mar 30, 2025
San Antonio Spurs106:148Golden State Warriors
Mar 29, 2025
New Orleans Hornets95:111Golden State Warriors
Mar 25, 2025
Miami Heat112:86Golden State Warriors
Mar 22, 2025
Atlanta Hawks124:115Golden State Warriors

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors head to head

Los Angeles Lakers

83%

Golden State Warriors

17%

Feb 7, 2025

Los Angeles Lakers

120 : 112

Golden State Warriors

Jan 26, 2025

Golden State Warriors

108 : 118

Los Angeles Lakers

Dec 26, 2024

Golden State Warriors

113 : 115

Los Angeles Lakers

Oct 19, 2024

Golden State Warriors

132 : 74

Los Angeles Lakers

Oct 16, 2024

Los Angeles Lakers

97 : 111

Golden State Warriors

Jul 7, 2024

Golden State Warriors

92 : 68

Los Angeles Lakers