The Orlando Magic roll into Capital One Arena riding a five-wins-in-seven-games hot streak as they battle to maintain their Southeast Division lead over Atlanta, while the injury-plagued Washington Wizards try to snap their nine-game losing streak against Orlando despite playing their third game in four nights.
Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner, both coming off impressive 24-point performances against San Antonio, power a Magic squad that boasts the league's stingiest defense (105.7 ppg) but struggles mightily on offense (dead last at 105 ppg).
With the Wizards missing key pieces like Khris Middleton and playing the backend of a back-to-back set, all signs point to another challenging night when the red-hot Magic face the cellar-dwelling home team Wizards.
Washington Wizards vs. Orlando Magic prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic matchup, our predictive model gives the Magic a 81.67% chance of defeating the Wizards.
Orlando Magic: 81.67% win probability
- Significantly better record (37-40 compared to Wizards' 17-59)
- Superior defensive efficiency (8087 points scored vs 8138 points allowed)
- Strong recent form with 3 wins in last 5 games (WLWLW)
Washington Wizards: 18.33% win probability
- Second-worst record in the Eastern Conference (17-59)
- Poor defensive performance (9180 points allowed - most in Eastern Conference)
- Negative point differential (-920 points on the season)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Washington Wizards vs. Orlando Magic odds
Here are the latest odds for the upcoming NBA showdown between the Orlando Magic and the home team Washington Wizards on Thursday, April 03.
Washington Wizards | Orlando Magic | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | +650 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | -900 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) |
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Washington Wizards vs. Orlando Magic preview
The struggling Washington Wizards host the Orlando Magic tonight in what feels like a serious mismatch on paper, with the Southeast Division-leading Magic looking to extend their nine-game winning streak against their division rivals.
Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner have been lighting it up for Orlando lately, each dropping 24 points in their comeback win over San Antonio on Tuesday, while Jordan Poole remains the lone bright spot for a Wizards team plagued by injuries.
Despite ranking dead last in scoring offense, the Magic have found success through their league-best defense, allowing just 105.7 points per game while forcing 16.2 turnovers from opponents.
Washington's brutal 1-12 record in back-to-back situations doesn't bode well for tonight, especially considering they're missing key pieces like Khris Middleton, Jalen Suggs, and several others on their mile-long injury report.
The previous three meetings this season weren't even close, with Orlando winning each by at least 15 points, suggesting the Wizards might be in for another long night at Capital One Arena.
Watching Banchero's development has been one of the few bright spots in an otherwise underwhelming Eastern Conference race, as he's averaging 25.8 points and 7.3 rebounds while establishing himself as the Magic's clear cornerstone.
If there's any silver lining for Wizards fans, it's that these late-season games provide valuable minutes for young talents like Bub Carrington and AJ Johnson, who combined for 38 points in their surprising win over Sacramento last night.
I'd love to say Washington has a fighting chance at home, but with Orlando battling Atlanta for potential home court in the play-in tournament, expect the Magic to dial in defensively and secure a comfortable road win.
Key stats
- 1Orlando Magic (7th in East) have a significantly better record (37-40) than Washington Wizards (15th in East, 17-59)
- 2Washington Wizards have the second-worst record in the NBA with only 17 wins in 76 games
- 3Orlando Magic's recent form (WLWLW) shows more consistency than Washington's irregular pattern (WLLLW)
- 4Despite being last in the East, Washington Wizards have scored 8260 points this season, more than Orlando's 8087, showing offensive capability
Washington Wizards vs. Orlando Magic form


Washington Wizards vs. Orlando Magic head to head
Washington Wizards
40%
Orlando Magic
60%
Apr 3, 2025
Washington Wizards
0 : 0
Orlando Magic
Mar 21, 2025
Washington Wizards
105 : 120
Orlando Magic
Feb 23, 2025
Orlando Magic
110 : 90
Washington Wizards
Nov 10, 2024
Orlando Magic
121 : 94
Washington Wizards
Mar 7, 2024
Washington Wizards
109 : 119
Orlando Magic
Dec 27, 2023
Washington Wizards
119 : 127
Orlando Magic