HomeNewsClippers vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 4/5/2025

Clippers vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 4/5/2025

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks matchup, our predictive model gives the Clippers a 63% chance of defeating the Mavs.

Los Angeles Clippers: 63% win probability

Superior defensive efficiency (8317 points allowed compared to Dallas' 8981)
Better win percentage (45-32 record versus Dallas' 38-40)
Strong recent form (WWWLW) with 4 wins in last 5 games

Dallas Mavericks: 37% win probability

Poor defensive record (8981 points allowed, ranking 9th in Western Conference)
Inconsistent recent form (LWLWW) showing vulnerability
Lower conference standing (9th place versus Clippers' 8th place with 7 fewer wins)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks odds

Here are the latest odds for the NBA showdown between the Dallas Mavericks and the home team Los Angeles Clippers taking place on Saturday, April 05.

	Los Angeles Clippers	Dallas Mavericks
Moneyline	-295 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)	+275 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

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Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks preview

The Mavericks roll into Intuit Dome tonight for the second game of their back-to-back with the Clippers, desperately clinging to playoff hopes as they sit 2.5 games ahead of Phoenix for the final play-in spot.

LA's been on absolute fire lately, dropping just three of their last 15 games while riding the hot hands of Kawhi Leonard and James Harden, who combined for 49 points in their recent dismantling of the Pelicans.

Anthony Davis has been a monster for Dallas since returning from injury, putting up a ridiculous 34-point, 15-rebound, 5-block performance against Atlanta on Wednesday, though his adductor issue has him listed as questionable.

The Clippers' defense might be the difference-maker tonight – they rank 4th in points allowed while absolutely dominating the glass (1st in opposing rebounds).

Both squads are fighting for very different playoff positioning, with LA just half a game behind Memphis for the 6th seed and desperately trying to avoid the play-in tournament altogether.

Missing Kyrie Irving and Dante Exum has hurt the Mavs, who went on a brutal 1-9 skid before Davis returned to right the ship.

While Dallas brings more firepower from deep (36.8% from three compared to LA's less frequent attempts), the Clippers' defensive prowess and ball control should give them an edge at home.

If Leonard sits for load management on the second night of this back-to-back, watch for Zubac and Harden to step up – Zubac's been having a career year and could be a tough matchup for even a healthy Davis.

Key stats

1
The Clippers (8th) rank higher than the Mavericks (9th) in the Western Conference standings with 45 wins vs 38 wins
2
The Clippers have a stronger recent form (WWWLW) compared to the Mavericks' mixed results (LWLWW)
3
LA Clippers have a better scoring differential (+323) than Dallas (+39), suggesting stronger overall performance
4
The Clippers boast a better defense, allowing fewer points (8,317) than the Mavericks (8,981)