The red-hot New York Knicks travel to State Farm Arena this Saturday, bringing their impressive 48-28 record and potential return of floor general Jalen Brunson against a Hawks team desperate to snap their recent skid.
Both squads have plenty at stake – Atlanta fighting to maintain their eighth spot in the Eastern Conference while New York aims to build momentum for their playoff push – with the previous four matchups this season resulting in a 2-2 split, each decided by single digits.
Look for Trae Young to exploit the Knicks' 27th-ranked three-point defense while Karl-Anthony Towns could dominate inside against an Atlanta Hawks defense that surrenders nearly 120 points per game, setting up what promises to be another nail-biter between the Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks.
Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks matchup, our predictive model gives the Knicks a 65% chance of defeating the Hawks.
New York Knicks: 65% win probability
- Superior league position (3rd in Eastern Conference vs Hawks' 8th place standing)
- Better overall record (48 wins vs 36 wins, showing consistent performance throughout season)
- Stronger defensive efficiency (allowing 8508 points across 76 games compared to Hawks' 9086 points in 76 games)
Atlanta Hawks: 35% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLWLL indicates inconsistency heading into this matchup)
- Defensive vulnerability (9086 points allowed, one of the highest in the Eastern Conference)
- Negative point differential (8953 points scored vs 9086 allowed, showing they give up more than they score)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Atlanta Hawks host the New York Knicks at home on Saturday, April 05.
| Atlanta Hawks | New York Knicks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +152 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | -170 (via bet365 US) |
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Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks preview
The Knicks and Hawks square off at State Farm Arena this Saturday in what promises to be another nail-biter after splitting their previous four meetings this season.
New York enters on shaky ground despite their strong 48-28 record, having just had their three-game win streak snapped by Cleveland in a game where they collapsed after halftime.
The potential return of Jalen Brunson from his ankle injury could be a massive boost for the Knicks, who've been relying heavily on Karl-Anthony Towns' impressive 24.3 points and 12.8 rebounds per game in recent weeks.
Atlanta's struggling lately with four losses in their last five games, including a heartbreaking last-second defeat to Dallas where they went scoreless in the final 1:45.
Trae Young remains the Hawks' offensive engine, putting up 24.1 points and 11.6 assists per night, and he'll likely exploit New York's 27th-ranked three-point defense.
Recent history suggests we're in for a tight contest – their February clash went to double overtime, and all their matchups this season have been decided by single digits.
The scoring potential looks enormous with Atlanta ranking second in pace and both teams sporting questionable perimeter defense (Hawks 28th in three-point defense, Knicks 27th).
State Farm Arena might give the Hawks an edge – they've covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 day games at home, potentially giving them the slight advantage despite their recent struggles.
Key stats
- 1The New York Knicks sit 3rd in the Eastern Conference with a 48-28 record while the Atlanta Hawks are 8th with a 36-40 record
- 2The Knicks have a strong recent form of LWWWL compared to the Hawks' weaker recent form of LLWLL
- 3New York has a positive point differential with 8823 points for and 8508 against (+315) while Atlanta has a negative differential with 8953 for and 9086 against (-133)
- 4The Knicks' 48 wins in 76 games (.632 win percentage) significantly outpaces the Hawks' 36 wins in 76 games (.474 win percentage)
Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks form
Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks head to head
Atlanta Hawks
40%
New York Knicks
60%
Apr 5, 2025
Atlanta Hawks
0 : 0
New York Knicks
Feb 13, 2025
New York Knicks
149 : 148
Atlanta Hawks
Jan 20, 2025
New York Knicks
119 : 110
Atlanta Hawks
Dec 12, 2024
New York Knicks
100 : 108
Atlanta Hawks
Nov 7, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
121 : 116
New York Knicks
Jul 20, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
82 : 90
New York Knicks
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