The Memphis Grizzlies roll into Little Caesars Arena looking to build on their buzzer-beating win over Miami, despite losing seven of their last nine games heading into Saturday's clash against the Detroit Pistons.

Ja Morant's 30-point performance against the Heat might be just what Memphis needed to regain their offensive swagger, but they'll face a formidable challenge in a Pistons squad that's won six of their last nine and is particularly tough at home with three consecutive victories on their own court.

The history between these teams heavily favors the Grizzlies who've gone 8-0 against Detroit since 2022, but with both teams fighting for playoff positioning and the Pistons coming off a confident road win in Toronto, expect an intense battle when the home team hosts the away team.

Detroit Pistons vs. Memphis Grizzlies prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Detroit Pistons vs Memphis Grizzlies matchup, our predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 56.67% chance of defeating the Pistons.

Memphis Grizzlies: 56.67% win probability

  • Strong offensive production (9381 points scored, 3rd highest in the Western Conference)
  • Better overall record (45-32 compared to Pistons' 43-34)
  • Momentum advantage with recent winning streak (WLLLL vs Pistons' WLLWW)

Detroit Pistons: 43.33% win probability

  • Less efficient scoring (8884 points vs Grizzlies' 9381)
  • Weaker conference standing (5th in East vs Grizzlies' 7th in more competitive West)
  • Defensive vulnerability (8708 points allowed, which is higher than several top teams)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Detroit Pistons vs. Memphis Grizzlies odds

Here are the latest odds as the Detroit Pistons host the Memphis Grizzlies in NBA action on Saturday, April 05.

Detroit PistonsMemphis Grizzlies
Moneyline+105 (via Caesars Sportsbook)-120 (via bet365 US)

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Detroit Pistons vs. Memphis Grizzlies preview

The Memphis Grizzlies roll into Little Caesars Arena this Saturday night looking to build on their dramatic buzzer-beater victory over Miami, where Ja Morant's clutch shot snapped a concerning four-game skid for the once-promising Western Conference contenders.

Detroit, meanwhile, enters this contest with momentum after handling Toronto 117-105 last night, marking their sixth win in nine games as they continue their surprising playoff push in what's been an undisputed turnaround season.

Recent history heavily favors Memphis, who've dominated this matchup with an 8-0 record against Detroit since 2022, including a 20-point beatdown earlier this season.

The backcourt battle should be fascinating – Morant dropped 36 points on blistering 63.6% shooting in his last outing, while the Pistons are getting unexpected production from Tim Hardaway Jr., who poured in 23 points on 57% shooting against Toronto.

Both squads rank in the top half of the league offensively (Memphis 2nd, Detroit 14th), but fatigue could be a factor for the home team on the second night of a back-to-back.

The Grizzlies' defensive vulnerability against three-pointers (19th in the league) might not hurt them against a Pistons squad that attempts the 24th most shots from beyond the arc.

Key injury concerns loom large – Brandon Clarke and Vince Williams Jr. remain sidelined for Memphis, while Detroit's playoff hopes may hinge on Cade Cunningham's questionable status after last night's game.

With Memphis desperate to right the ship after losing seven of nine before Thursday's win, this matchup feels like a potential statement game for a Grizzlies team trying to recapture their early-season form heading into the playoffs.

Key stats

  • 1
    The Memphis Grizzlies (7th) are ranked higher than Detroit Pistons (5th) in their respective conferences
  • 2
    Detroit Pistons have won their last two games (WLLWW) while Memphis has lost their last three (WLLLL)
  • 3
    Both teams have similar records: Detroit at 43-34 and Memphis at 45-32
  • 4
    Memphis has a better scoring offense (9381 points) compared to Detroit (8884 points)

Detroit Pistons vs. Memphis Grizzlies form

Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
Latest matches
L
L
W
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Apr 3, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder119:103Detroit Pistons
Mar 30, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves123:104Detroit Pistons
Mar 28, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers122:133Detroit Pistons
Mar 25, 2025
San Antonio Spurs96:122Detroit Pistons
Mar 23, 2025
New Orleans Hornets130:136Detroit Pistons
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
Latest matches
W
L
L
L
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Apr 3, 2025
Miami Heat108:110Memphis Grizzlies
Apr 2, 2025
Golden State Warriors134:125Memphis Grizzlies
Mar 31, 2025
Boston Celtics117:103Memphis Grizzlies
Mar 30, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers134:127Memphis Grizzlies
Mar 28, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder125:104Memphis Grizzlies

Detroit Pistons vs. Memphis Grizzlies head to head

Detroit Pistons

20%

Memphis Grizzlies

80%

Apr 5, 2025

Detroit Pistons

0 : 0

Memphis Grizzlies

Nov 28, 2024

Memphis Grizzlies

131 : 111

Detroit Pistons

Apr 6, 2024

Memphis Grizzlies

108 : 90

Detroit Pistons

Apr 1, 2024

Detroit Pistons

108 : 110

Memphis Grizzlies

Dec 7, 2023

Detroit Pistons

102 : 116

Memphis Grizzlies

Dec 10, 2022

Memphis Grizzlies

114 : 103

Detroit Pistons