The scorching-hot Dallas Stars, riding a seven-game winning streak and boasting top-four rankings in both offense and defense, welcome the Pittsburgh Penguins to American Airlines Center in what could be a lopsided affair this Saturday afternoon.

While Jake Oettinger continues his stellar play between the pipes with a .912 save percentage, the Penguins' playoff hopes hang by a thread as they've dropped four of their last five games and struggle with the league's worst defensive record.

Pittsburgh's offensive weapons led by Sidney Crosby and Rickard Rakell will face a monumental challenge breaking through the Stars' second-ranked penalty kill when the desperate Penguins face off against the Central Division powerhouse Stars.

Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 78% chance of defeating the Pens.

Dallas Stars: 78% win probability

  • Explosive offense (259 goals scored, 2nd highest in the Western Conference)
  • Dominant home record (28 wins at American Airlines Center this season)
  • Red-hot form (Current 5-game winning streak as shown by WWWWW recent form)

Pittsburgh Penguins: 22% win probability

  • Defensive struggles (279 goals allowed, 4th worst in the Eastern Conference)
  • Road game difficulties (13-21-2 away record this season)
  • Momentum issues (Recent form shows LWLLL with 4 losses in last 5 games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL showdown between the Pittsburgh Penguins and the home team Dallas Stars on Saturday, April 05.

Dallas StarsPittsburgh Penguins
Moneyline-295 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)+245 (via bet365 US)

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Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins preview

The scorching-hot Dallas Stars, riding a seven-game winning streak, welcome the slumping Pittsburgh Penguins to American Airlines Center this Saturday in what could be a lopsided affair given the teams' contrasting fortunes.

Dallas stands tall as one of the NHL's most balanced squads, ranking fourth in both scoring (3.4 goals per game) and defense (2.5 goals against), while Pittsburgh has struggled mightily in their own end, sitting dead last in goals allowed (3.6).

Jake Oettinger has been a wall between the pipes for the Stars with his impressive 2.45 GAA and .912 save percentage, potentially spelling trouble for a desperate Penguins team that's dropped four of their last five contests.

Despite their defensive woes, the Penguins still pack some offensive punch with Sidney Crosby (82 points) leading the charge alongside Rickard Rakell, who's enjoying a breakout season with 33 goals.

History doesn't favor Pittsburgh either, as Dallas has dominated this matchup recently, winning six of their last seven head-to-head meetings, with the under hitting in seven of their last eight encounters.

Both teams will be missing key personnel – Dallas without Miro Heiskanen and Tyler Seguin, Pittsburgh missing Tommy Novak and Pierre-Olivier Joseph – but the Stars' superior depth should help them weather these absences better.

The stars of Dallas – Jason Robertson and Wyatt Johnston with 33 and 31 goals respectively – will look to feast on a Penguins defense that's hemorrhaged goals all season.

For Pittsburgh, this represents one of their final chances to keep faint playoff hopes alive, but they'll need a miraculous performance to overcome a Stars squad that's won 11 of their last 12 on home ice.

Key stats

  • 1
    Dallas Stars ranked 2nd in Western Conference with 104 points, while Pittsburgh Penguins sit 13th in Eastern Conference with 72 points
  • 2
    Dallas Stars are in excellent form with 5 consecutive wins (WWWWW), contrasting with Pittsburgh's poor form of 4 losses in their last 5 games (LWLLL)
  • 3
    Dallas maintains a strong goal difference of +69 (259 GF, 190 GA) compared to Pittsburgh's negative -57 (222 GF, 279 GA)
  • 4
    Dallas has won 50 games from 75 played (67% win rate) while Pittsburgh has only won 30 games from 76 played (39% win rate)

Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins form

Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars
Latest matches
W
W
W
W
W
Victories
5/5 (100%)
Defeats
0/5 (0%)
Apr 4, 2025
Nashville Predators1:5Dallas Stars
Apr 1, 2025
Seattle Kraken1:3Dallas Stars
Mar 30, 2025
Seattle Kraken1:5Dallas Stars
Mar 28, 2025
Calgary Flames2:5Dallas Stars
Mar 27, 2025
Edmonton Oilers3:4Dallas Stars
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Latest matches
L
W
L
L
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Apr 4, 2025
St. Louis Blues5:4Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 30, 2025
Ottawa Senators0:1Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 27, 2025
Buffalo Sabres7:3Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 25, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning6:1Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 23, 2025
Florida Panthers4:3Pittsburgh Penguins

Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins head to head

Dallas Stars

83%

Pittsburgh Penguins

17%

Nov 12, 2024

Pittsburgh Penguins

1 : 7

Dallas Stars

Mar 23, 2024

Dallas Stars

4 : 2

Pittsburgh Penguins

Oct 24, 2023

Pittsburgh Penguins

1 : 4

Dallas Stars

Mar 24, 2023

Dallas Stars

3 : 2

Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 13, 2022

Pittsburgh Penguins

2 : 1

Dallas Stars

Jan 8, 2022

Dallas Stars

3 : 2

Pittsburgh Penguins