HomeNewsMiami vs Toronto Prediction, Odds, MLS Picks 4/6/2025

Miami vs Toronto Prediction, Odds, MLS Picks 4/6/2025

Inter Miami vs. Toronto prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Inter Miami vs Toronto matchup, our predictive model gives the Herons a 80.7% chance of defeating the Reds.

Inter Miami: 80.7% win probability

Perfect recent form (WWWWD showing 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches)
Exceptional offensive output (11 goals scored in just 5 games, averaging 2.2 goals per match)
Strong league position (2nd place with 13 points despite playing fewer games than most teams)

Toronto: 19.3% win probability

Winless season record (0 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses in 6 matches played)
Poor defensive record (12 goals conceded in 6 matches, averaging 2 goals against per game)
Terrible recent form (DLLLL indicates 4 consecutive losses after an early season draw)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.

Inter Miami vs. Toronto odds

Here are the latest odds for the MLS showdown between home team Inter Miami and Toronto, taking place on Sunday, April 06.

	Inter Miami	Toronto	Draw
Moneyline	(via bet365 US)	(via bet365 US)	( via bet365 US)

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Inter Miami vs. Toronto preview

Inter Miami, riding high with a string of impressive performances despite their recent CONCACAF Champions Cup loss to LAFC, welcome a struggling Toronto FC to Chase Stadium this Sunday evening.

The Herons' defense has been rock-solid lately, conceding just three goals in their last six outings, which could spell trouble for a leaky Toronto backline that's shipped 12 goals in their past six matches.

Their recent head-to-head history heavily favors Miami, who've won five of their last six encounters with Toronto, including a tight 1-0 victory in their previous meeting where Leonardo Campana grabbed a dramatic stoppage-time winner.

Javier Mascherano's squad will have to cope without several injured players, including David Ruíz and Tadeo Allende, but they still pack enough firepower to trouble Toronto's defense.

The visitors, under Robin Fraser, haven't exactly set the world alight recently – they've managed just a goalless draw against Vancouver Whitecaps in their last outing and will be missing key defenders Kevin Long and Richie Laryea for this trip south.

Chase Stadium has become something of a fortress for Miami, and with Toronto's road form being what it is, I'm not seeing much hope for the Canadian outfit.

That said, Toronto have shown they can create chances – they managed 15 shots with 6 on target in their last meeting – so they might just find the net in what's likely to be a consolation goal.

Expect Miami's attacking talent to dominate proceedings in what should be an entertaining Sunday night showdown in Florida.

Key stats

1
Inter Miami sits 2nd in the standings with 13 points from just 5 games played, indicating games in hand over other top teams
2
Inter Miami boasts an impressive undefeated record (WWWWD) while Toronto is winless in their last 5 matches (DLLLL)
3
Toronto has conceded 12 goals while scoring just 6, giving them the 2nd worst goal difference (-6) in the league
4
Inter Miami averages 2.2 goals scored per game compared to Toronto's 1.0, suggesting a significant offensive advantage