With the Bucks coming off three straight wins and gunning for better playoff positioning, Giannis Antetokounmpo's triple-double threat looms large as Milwaukee visits a New Orleans team that's practically fielding a G-League roster at this point.
The injury-ravaged Pelicans, missing virtually all their key players including Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, and Trey Murphy III, have managed to crack 100 points just once in their last four outings while losing 12 of 16.
Sunday's clash at Smoothie King Center features a stark contrast between the fifth-seeded Bucks who've covered seven of their last nine games and a Pelicans squad that seems to have waved the white flag as the New Orleans Pelicans host the Milwaukee Bucks.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Milwaukee Bucks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks matchup, our predictive model gives the Bucks an 80% chance of defeating the Pelicans.
Milwaukee Bucks: 80% win probability
- Superior overall record (43-34 compared to Pelicans' 21-56)
- Better offensive efficiency (8850 points scored over 77 games)
- Strong recent form (3-2 in last five games with WWWLL pattern)
New Orleans Pelicans: 20% win probability
- Poor defensive record (9145 points allowed, second worst in Western Conference)
- Dismal overall record (21-56, 14th in Western Conference)
- Inconsistent recent performances (LLWLW form shows inability to string together wins)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Milwaukee Bucks odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup where the New Orleans Pelicans will host the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday, April 06.
New Orleans Pelicans | Milwaukee Bucks | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | +310 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | -390 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Milwaukee Bucks preview
The Bucks roll into the Smoothie King Center riding a three-game win streak, while the injury-ravaged Pelicans are just trying to limp to the season's finish line.
Milwaukee's offensive juggernaut, led by triple-double machine Giannis Antetokounmpo (who recently posted an absurd 35-20-17 stat line against Philly), has been clicking at 118.6 points per 100 possessions over their last 10 games.
New Orleans, meanwhile, is fielding what barely qualifies as an NBA roster—they're missing practically their entire starting lineup with Williamson, McCollum, Murphy, Murray, and Jones all sidelined.
Jose Alvarado has been a lone bright spot for the Pels, dropping 27 points in their recent loss to the Lakers, but there's just not enough firepower to keep pace with playoff-bound teams.
Historical trends favor Milwaukee, who've won four of their last five matchups against New Orleans, though back-to-backs have sometimes tripped up the Bucks this season.
The over has historically dominated this matchup (hitting in seven of their last eight meetings), but with the Pelicans' offensive struggles—breaking 100 points just once in their last four games—this might buck the trend.
Milwaukee's league-leading three-point shooting (38.5%) could be the difference-maker against a Pelicans defense that's been anything but stellar during their current slide.
With playoff positioning on the line for the Bucks and nothing but pride for the Pelicans, this cross-conference clash might lack drama but should showcase whether Milwaukee is rounding into form at the right time.
Key stats
- 1Milwaukee Bucks sit 5th in the Eastern Conference with a 43-34 record while New Orleans Pelicans are struggling at 14th in the Western Conference with just 21-56
- 2Milwaukee has a positive scoring differential (+154) whereas New Orleans has a significant negative differential (-675)
- 3The Bucks' recent form shows inconsistency (WWWLL) compared to the Pelicans' slightly improved pattern (LLWLW)
- 4Milwaukee has won 43 games this season, more than double New Orleans' 21 victories, suggesting a significant competitive advantage for the visiting team
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Milwaukee Bucks form


New Orleans Pelicans vs. Milwaukee Bucks head to head
New Orleans Pelicans
33%
Milwaukee Bucks
67%
Mar 29, 2024
New Orleans Pelicans
107 : 100
Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 28, 2024
Milwaukee Bucks
141 : 117
New Orleans Pelicans
Jan 30, 2023
Milwaukee Bucks
135 : 110
New Orleans Pelicans
Dec 20, 2022
New Orleans Pelicans
119 : 128
Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 1, 2022
Milwaukee Bucks
136 : 113
New Orleans Pelicans
Dec 18, 2021
New Orleans Pelicans
116 : 112
Milwaukee Bucks
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