The Buffalo Sabres welcome the Boston Bruins to KeyBank Center this Sunday riding the high of their recent 5-2 victory over the Senators, while the Bruins are desperate to bounce back after a disappointing 4-1 loss to the Canadiens.

Both teams have struggled defensively this season, with Buffalo surrendering 262 goals and Boston allowing 251, though the Sabres hold a slight edge offensively with 241 goals compared to the Bruins' 197.

With Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen likely manning the crease for the home team against Boston's Joonas Korpisalo, special teams could prove decisive as the Buffalo Sabres face off against the Boston Bruins in what promises to be an entertaining Eastern Conference showdown.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston Bruins prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Buffalo Sabres vs Boston Bruins matchup, our predictive model gives the Bruins a 56% chance of defeating the Sabres.

Boston Bruins: 56% win probability

  • Better recent form with an LWWWL record compared to Sabres' WWWLW (showing more consistency in last 5 games)
  • Stronger defensive discipline allowing 253 goals against compared to Sabres' 265 (12 fewer goals)
  • More experience in tight games with both teams having 31 wins but Bruins having played more games (77 vs 75)

Buffalo Sabres: 44% win probability

  • Defensive vulnerability with 265 goals against (4th worst in Eastern Conference)
  • Inconsistent point accumulation with 72 points in 75 games (0.96 points per game)
  • Goal differential issues with 247 goals for and 265 against (negative 18 differential)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston Bruins odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Boston Bruins and the home team Buffalo Sabres on Sunday, April 06.

Buffalo SabresBoston Bruins
Moneyline-162 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)+140 (via bet365 US)

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Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston Bruins preview

The struggling Bruins head to KeyBank Center this Sunday looking to bounce back from a disappointing 4-1 loss to the Canadiens where their offense simply couldn't get going.

Buffalo comes in with some momentum after downing the Senators 5-2, showcasing their superior finishing ability with a team shooting percentage of 11.90% compared to Boston's 9.8%.

Both squads have had defensive issues this season, with the Bruins surrendering 251 goals while the Sabres haven't fared much better with 262 goals allowed.

Keep an eye on goaltender Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, who despite facing heavy pressure this season, boasts a quality start percentage of 53.4% and could be the difference-maker for Buffalo.

Boston's penalty kill might be their Achilles' heel in this matchup, as they've allowed opponents a whopping 225 power play opportunities (4th most in the NHL).

The odds slightly favor the home team Sabres at -130, which feels about right given their better recent form and home-ice advantage.

Look for Buffalo to capitalize on their slightly more potent power play (18.31% vs. Boston's 15.21%) in what should be a high-scoring affair if the over/under of 6 goals is any indication.

Though Boston has struggled, don't count them out completely – hockey's funny like that, and the Bruins could absolutely steal one on the road if Joonas Korpisalo stands on his head between the pipes.

Key stats

  • 1
    Both Boston Bruins and Buffalo Sabres have identical 31 wins but Boston sits 15th in Eastern Conference while Buffalo is 14th
  • 2
    Buffalo Sabres have scored significantly more goals (247) than Boston Bruins (202) this season
  • 3
    Both teams are tied at 71 points after 77 games for Boston and 75 games for Buffalo
  • 4
    Buffalo's recent form (WWWLW) is significantly stronger than Boston's (WLLLL)

Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston Bruins form

Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo Sabres
Latest matches
W
W
W
L
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Apr 5, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning2:3Buffalo Sabres
Apr 1, 2025
Ottawa Senators2:5Buffalo Sabres
Mar 30, 2025
Washington Capitals5:8Buffalo Sabres
Mar 29, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers7:4Buffalo Sabres
Mar 27, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins3:7Buffalo Sabres
Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins
Latest matches
W
L
L
L
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Apr 5, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes1:5Boston Bruins
Apr 3, 2025
Montreal Canadiens4:1Boston Bruins
Apr 1, 2025
Washington Capitals4:3Boston Bruins
Mar 30, 2025
Detroit Red Wings2:1Boston Bruins
Mar 27, 2025
Anaheim Ducks6:2Boston Bruins

Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston Bruins head to head

Buffalo Sabres

50%

Boston Bruins

50%

Mar 17, 2025

Boston Bruins

2 : 3

Buffalo Sabres

Jan 29, 2025

Buffalo Sabres

7 : 2

Boston Bruins

Dec 22, 2024

Boston Bruins

3 : 1

Buffalo Sabres

Dec 28, 2023

Buffalo Sabres

1 : 4

Boston Bruins

Dec 8, 2023

Boston Bruins

1 : 3

Buffalo Sabres

Nov 15, 2023

Buffalo Sabres

2 : 5

Boston Bruins