The Portland Trail Blazers welcome the San Antonio Spurs to Moda Center in a battle between two teams clinging to the mathematical possibility of postseason play despite long odds.

Both squads come in battling significant injury concerns – Portland potentially missing Simons, Avdija, and definitely without Ayton, while San Antonio continues to navigate life without their franchise cornerstone Wembanyama.

The matchup presents an interesting contrast between Chris Paul's veteran leadership for the visiting Spurs against the young firepower of Shaedon Sharpe's Blazers, who desperately need to snap their 0-3 season series drought against the Spurs to keep their faint playoff dreams alive.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs matchup, our predictive model gives the Spurs a 72.5% chance of defeating the Blazers.

San Antonio Spurs: 72.5% win probability

  • Better overall record (32-45 compared to Blazers' 34-44)
  • More efficient offense (8779 points scored in 77 games, averaging 114.0 per game vs Blazers' 111.0)
  • Recent performance improvement (won one of their last five games while Blazers have lost three of their last five)

Portland Trail Blazers: 27.5% win probability

  • Defensive struggles (allowed 8911 points in 78 games, ranking them 11th in Western Conference)
  • Lower scoring efficiency (8652 points in 78 games, ranking 12th in the Western Conference)
  • Inconsistent home court advantage (their 34-44 record doesn't indicate strong home performance, especially against mid-tier opponents)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs odds

Here are the latest odds for the NBA showdown between the San Antonio Spurs visiting the Portland Trail Blazers at home this Sunday, April 06.

Portland Trail BlazersSan Antonio Spurs
Moneyline-145 (via Caesars Sportsbook)+130 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs preview

The Spurs roll into Portland looking to complete a season sweep after winning all three previous matchups with the Blazers, though both teams are essentially playing for pride at this late stage of the season.

Victor Wembanyama's absence has thrust rookie Stephon Castle into the spotlight, with the youngster coming off an impressive 22-point performance that's giving Spurs fans something to cheer about during this rebuilding year.

Portland's injury woes continue to mount as DeAndre Ayton remains sidelined, while key scorers Anfernee Simons and Deni Avdija – fresh off a 37-point outburst against Chicago – are questionable, potentially leaving the Blazers severely short-handed.

Despite missing their franchise cornerstone, San Antonio's veteran presence in Chris Paul provides stability, while Devin Vassell (16.4 PPG) and Harrison Barnes have stepped up their scoring duties in recent games.

The Moda Center contest might lack playoff implications, but basketball purists should enjoy watching these young rosters battling it out – especially with Portland's exciting 21-year-old Shaedon Sharpe, who's quietly averaging 18.2 points this season.

Defense likely won't be the story here, with both squads ranking higher in offensive efficiency than defensive metrics, setting up what could be a surprisingly entertaining, high-scoring affair.

I've got a hunch that Castle might just put on another show for San Antonio, continuing his late-season emergence that's giving Spurs fans hope for next year's campaign.

While the Blazers have shown fight all season despite mounting injuries, the Spurs' slightly more cohesive lineup should give them an edge in what might end up being one of Sunday's most competitive matchups.

Key stats

  • 1
    The Portland Trail Blazers (12th in Western Conference) have a slightly better record at 34-44 compared to the Spurs' 32-45 (13th place)
  • 2
    Portland's recent form of LWWLL shows more consistency than San Antonio's LWLLL pattern, suggesting better momentum
  • 3
    Portland has a smaller negative goal difference (-259) than San Antonio (-201), indicating potentially better defensive capabilities
  • 4
    The Blazers have played one more game (78) than the Spurs (77), which could affect energy levels in this matchup

Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs form

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
Latest matches
L
W
W
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Apr 5, 2025
Chicago Bulls118:113Portland Trail Blazers
Apr 3, 2025
Toronto Raptors103:112Portland Trail Blazers
Apr 1, 2025
Atlanta Hawks113:127Portland Trail Blazers
Mar 30, 2025
New York Knicks110:93Portland Trail Blazers
Mar 28, 2025
Sacramento Kings128:107Portland Trail Blazers
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
Latest matches
L
W
L
L
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Apr 5, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers114:113San Antonio Spurs
Apr 3, 2025
Denver Nuggets106:113San Antonio Spurs
Apr 2, 2025
Orlando Magic116:105San Antonio Spurs
Mar 30, 2025
Boston Celtics121:111San Antonio Spurs
Mar 30, 2025
Golden State Warriors148:106San Antonio Spurs

Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs head to head

Portland Trail Blazers

20%

San Antonio Spurs

80%

Apr 6, 2025

Portland Trail Blazers

0 : 0

San Antonio Spurs

Dec 22, 2024

San Antonio Spurs

114 : 94

Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 14, 2024

Portland Trail Blazers

116 : 118

San Antonio Spurs

Nov 8, 2024

San Antonio Spurs

118 : 105

Portland Trail Blazers

Jul 14, 2024

Portland Trail Blazers

77 : 83

San Antonio Spurs

Jan 27, 2024

San Antonio Spurs

116 : 100

Portland Trail Blazers