Two of the NBA's hottest teams collide at Chase Center as the Golden State Warriors aim to extend their remarkable 16-1 streak against the Houston Rockets while strengthening their playoff position in a crowded Western Conference race.

The Rockets bring scorching momentum with 14 wins in their last 16 games behind Jalen Green's 21.3 points per game and Alperen Sengun's double-double prowess, though they've historically struggled on the road against winning teams.

With Stephen Curry fresh off a 37-point performance and the Warriors sporting a near-perfect 20-2 record when pairing him with Jimmy Butler, Sunday's showdown between the fifth-seeded Golden State Warriors and second-seeded Houston Rockets promises playoff-level intensity with significant seeding implications on the line.

Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets prediction: who will win?

For today's Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets matchup, our predictive model gives the Warriors a 55% chance of defeating the Rockets.

Golden State Warriors: 55% win probability

  • Defensive efficiency (Golden State has allowed 8,535 points while Houston has allowed 8,506 - nearly identical despite playing one more game)
  • Momentum advantage (Warriors are on a five-game winning streak with perfect WWWWW recent form)
  • Home court advantage (Warriors' 5th place standing in the highly competitive Western Conference shows their ability to protect home court)

Houston Rockets: 45% win probability

  • Road game vulnerability (Despite their 2nd place standing, Houston must face a Warriors team with tremendous momentum)
  • Recent inconsistency (Rockets' WWLWW form shows they've dropped games recently despite their strong overall record)
  • Scoring differential concerns (Houston's +423 point differential is slightly less impressive than their standing might suggest)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets odds

Here are the latest odds for the NBA matchup between the Houston Rockets and the home team Golden State Warriors on Sunday, April 06.

Golden State WarriorsHouston Rockets
Moneyline-194 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)+162 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets preview

Sunday's showdown at Chase Center features two of the hottest teams in the Western Conference, with the second-seeded Rockets riding a remarkable 14-2 stretch into San Francisco to face the Warriors, who've been nearly unstoppable themselves with 14 wins in their last 17 outings.

Steph Curry continues to be the engine for Golden State, dropping 37 points against the Lakers in their previous outing, while the Jimmy Butler partnership has quietly transformed this team into a serious contender with an incredible 20-2 record when both stars share the court.

Houston's explosive offense is led by Jalen Green's 21.3 points per game, with the young guard coming off a 22-point performance against Utah where he shot an efficient 46.7% from the floor.

Despite the Rockets' impressive surge up the standings, history favors the home team with the Warriors having dominated this matchup recently, winning 16 of their last 17 encounters against Houston.

Both squads enter this pivotal late-season clash fully healthy with no reported injuries, setting the stage for what should be an entertaining, high-scoring affair if recent trends hold – six of Houston's last seven games against Western Conference teams have gone OVER the total points line.

The Warriors' exceptional home form makes them slight favorites, but don't count out these Rockets who've proven their ability to beat elite teams throughout the season, most recently taking down the Thunder.

The playoff seeding implications couldn't be bigger – Golden State could potentially climb as high as third in the West with continued success, while Houston looks to strengthen its grip on the second seed.

Expect a playoff atmosphere at Chase Center as these red-hot teams battle in what might just be a preview of a potential first-round matchup come late April.

Key stats

  • 1
    Houston Rockets are 2nd in Western Conference with 51 wins, while Warriors are 5th with 46 wins
  • 2
    Warriors have better recent form with 5 straight wins (WWWWW) compared to Rockets' WWLWW
  • 3
    Warriors have a better point differential (+234) than Rockets (+423)
  • 4
    Despite playing one more game, Rockets have more wins (51) than Warriors (46), showing stronger overall season performance

Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets form

Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
Latest matches
W
W
W
W
W
Victories
5/5 (100%)
Defeats
0/5 (0%)
Apr 5, 2025
Denver Nuggets104:118Golden State Warriors
Apr 4, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers116:123Golden State Warriors
Apr 2, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies125:134Golden State Warriors
Mar 30, 2025
San Antonio Spurs106:148Golden State Warriors
Mar 29, 2025
New Orleans Hornets95:111Golden State Warriors
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Apr 5, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder111:125Houston Rockets
Apr 3, 2025
Utah Jazz105:143Houston Rockets
Apr 1, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers104:98Houston Rockets
Mar 31, 2025
Phoenix Suns109:148Houston Rockets
Mar 28, 2025
Utah Jazz110:121Houston Rockets

Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets head to head

Golden State Warriors

67%

Houston Rockets

33%

Feb 14, 2025

Houston Rockets

98 : 105

Golden State Warriors

Dec 12, 2024

Houston Rockets

91 : 90

Golden State Warriors

Dec 6, 2024

Golden State Warriors

99 : 93

Houston Rockets

Nov 3, 2024

Houston Rockets

121 : 127

Golden State Warriors

Apr 5, 2024

Houston Rockets

110 : 133

Golden State Warriors

Nov 21, 2023

Golden State Warriors

121 : 116

Houston Rockets