The Minnesota Wild desperately need a victory to maintain their playoff position as they host the surging Dallas Stars, who've won seven straight and are hunting down Winnipeg in the Central Division race.
Minnesota's offensive struggles (just 2.5 goals per game in their last ten) will be tested against a Dallas team that allows the third-fewest goals in the league while boasting the NHL's top penalty kill at 84.9%.
With Minnesota battling fatigue issues and the Stars owning an 8-1-1 record in their last ten meetings, Sunday's matinee at the Xcel Energy Center promises high stakes as the Minnesota Wild face off against the Dallas Stars.
Minnesota Wild vs. Dallas Stars prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 54.67% chance of defeating the Wild.
Dallas Stars: 54.67% win probability
- Offensive firepower (262 goals for, tied for 2nd in Western Conference)
- Recent momentum (LWWWW form, showing resilience and consistency)
- Superior overall record (50 wins in 76 games compared to Wild's 41 wins in 77 games)
Minnesota Wild: 45.33% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLLLW, indicating significant struggles)
- Defensive vulnerabilities (222 goals against, ranking middle of the conference)
- Struggling offense (209 goals for, significantly below conference leaders)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Minnesota Wild vs. Dallas Stars odds
Here are the latest odds for the NHL showdown between the Dallas Stars who will travel to face the home team Minnesota Wild on Sunday, April 06.
Minnesota Wild | Dallas Stars | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | +130 (via bet365 US) | -150 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) |
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Minnesota Wild vs. Dallas Stars preview
The struggling Minnesota Wild host the red-hot Dallas Stars at Xcel Energy Center Sunday afternoon in a crucial Central Division showdown that has major playoff implications for both clubs.
Dallas comes in absolutely scorching, having won seven straight contests prior to their Saturday afternoon tilt with Pittsburgh, while Minnesota has hit a serious rough patch with six losses in their last seven games.
The Stars' high-powered offense (3.43 goals per game, 3rd in NHL) should present serious problems for a Wild penalty kill that ranks dead last in the league at just 72.2% efficiency.
Jake Oettinger has been rock-solid between the pipes for Dallas, while Filip Gustavsson faces the tough task of slowing down Stars' scoring threats like Mikael Granlund, Mason Marchment, and Roope Hintz, all of whom found the net in Dallas' recent 5-1 dismantling of Nashville.
Minnesota will desperately need more production from Mats Zuccarello, who tallied his 18th goal in their recent loss to the Islanders but hasn't gotten much help from his struggling teammates.
History doesn't favor the home team here – Dallas owns a dominant 8-1-1 record in their last 10 meetings, including a 3-0 shutout win in their most recent matchup on March 24th.
Despite having the rest advantage, Minnesota's anemic offense (just 2.5 goals per game in their last 10) will be hard-pressed to generate enough pressure against a Dallas squad that's clicking on all cylinders.
I'm expecting a tight, defensive battle early that ultimately tilts Dallas' way as their superior firepower and momentum prove too much for the Wild to handle.
Key stats
- 1Dallas Stars sit 2nd in West with 104 points while Wild are 8th with 89 points
- 2Stars have a +67 goal difference (262-195) versus Wild's -13 (209-222)
- 3Dallas shows strong recent form (LWWWW) compared to Minnesota's five-game slump (LLLLW)
- 4Stars have played one fewer game (76) than Wild (77) while accumulating 15 more points
Minnesota Wild vs. Dallas Stars form


Minnesota Wild vs. Dallas Stars head to head
Minnesota Wild
17%
Dallas Stars
83%
Mar 25, 2025
Dallas Stars
3 : 0
Minnesota Wild
Dec 28, 2024
Dallas Stars
2 : 3
Minnesota Wild
Nov 17, 2024
Minnesota Wild
1 : 2
Dallas Stars
Sep 29, 2024
Minnesota Wild
2 : 4
Dallas Stars
Sep 26, 2024
Dallas Stars
5 : 2
Minnesota Wild
Jan 11, 2024
Dallas Stars
7 : 2
Minnesota Wild
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