The surging Sacramento Kings ride into Detroit on a two-game winning streak, led by the scorching trio of Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan, and Domantas Sabonis who combined for an eye-popping 92 points in their recent upset victory over Cleveland.

Little Caesars Arena might prove challenging territory for the Kings playing their second game in as many nights, especially against a Pistons squad that ranks 8th in defensive rating and boasts Cade Cunningham's impressive 25.7 points and 9.1 assists per game.

With injuries potentially sidelining key contributors Keegan Murray, Jalen Duren and Tobias Harris, this rematch of December's one-point thriller could come down to whether the Kings can maintain their offensive rhythm or if the rested Detroit Pistons can exploit their home court advantage against the weary Sacramento Kings.

Detroit Pistons vs. Sacramento Kings prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings matchup, our predictive model gives the Pistons a 64.25% chance of defeating the Kings.

Detroit Pistons: 64.25% win probability

  • Higher league position (6th in Eastern Conference vs Kings' 9th in Western) (43-35 record vs 38-40)
  • Better defensive performance (8,817 points allowed vs Kings' 9,011)
  • Strong recent form with 3 wins in last 5 games (LWLLW vs Kings' WWLLL)

Sacramento Kings: 35.75% win probability

  • Struggling away form (Kings have lost 3 of their last 5 games)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (Kings have allowed 9,011 points this season, ranking them poorly in defensive metrics)
  • Lower win percentage (Kings have won only 38 games compared to Pistons' 43 wins in nearly identical games played)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Detroit Pistons vs. Sacramento Kings odds

Here are the latest odds for Monday, April 07's NBA matchup as the Detroit Pistons host the Sacramento Kings.

Detroit PistonsSacramento Kings
Moneyline-290 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)+240 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Best NBA sportsbook promos

Start OddsCheckerWidget (lazyOnload)
End OddsCheckerWidget (lazyOnload)

Detroit Pistons vs. Sacramento Kings preview

The Sacramento Kings ride into Detroit on a hot streak after back-to-back wins, including an impressive road victory against Cleveland where Zach LaVine exploded for 37 points and the Sacramento offense looked rejuvenated.

Detroit's impressive 43-35 record marks their best season since 2018-19, but they'll be looking to bounce back after a disappointing home loss to Memphis where their usually reliable three-point shooting abandoned them (11-for-42).

Cade Cunningham has been a force for the Pistons, averaging a stellar 25.7 points and 9.1 assists, while the Kings continue to lean on their trio of DeRozan, Sabonis, and LaVine who combined for 92 points in their last outing.

Keegan Murray's back injury leaves him questionable for Sacramento, while Detroit monitors the status of Tobias Harris and Jalen Duren - absences that could swing this matchup significantly.

The last meeting between these teams on December 26 produced a nail-biter with Detroit edging a 114-113 win, though recent history favors the Kings who've won four straight at Little Caesars Arena.

Detroit's 8th-ranked defense will be tested by a Kings offense that's finding its rhythm at the perfect time, setting up what should be a fascinating clash of strengths.

The Pistons have struggled against Pacific Division opponents at home (losing 12 of their last 13), but their rested legs might prove decisive against a Kings team playing the second night of a back-to-back.

I'm expecting a high-scoring affair with both teams pushing the pace - the Pistons average 100.4 possessions per 48 minutes while Sacramento sits at 99.2, suggesting we could see fireworks at Little Caesars Arena tonight.

Key stats

  • 1
    Detroit Pistons (6th in East) have better league position than Sacramento Kings (9th in West)
  • 2
    Pistons have a recent form of LWLLW while Kings have WWLLL, showing Detroit's slightly better momentum
  • 3
    Pistons have better goal difference (+184) compared to Kings' more balanced offense/defense (+27)
  • 4
    Kings score more (9038 points) but Pistons allow fewer points (8817 vs 9011), suggesting a defensive edge for Detroit

Detroit Pistons vs. Sacramento Kings form

Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
Latest matches
L
W
L
L
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Apr 5, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies109:103Detroit Pistons
Apr 4, 2025
Toronto Raptors105:117Detroit Pistons
Apr 3, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder119:103Detroit Pistons
Mar 30, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves123:104Detroit Pistons
Mar 28, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers122:133Detroit Pistons
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
Latest matches
W
W
L
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Apr 6, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers113:120Sacramento Kings
Apr 4, 2025
Charlotte Bobcats102:125Sacramento Kings
Apr 2, 2025
Washington Wizards116:111Sacramento Kings
Mar 31, 2025
Indiana Pacers111:109Sacramento Kings
Mar 29, 2025
Orlando Magic121:91Sacramento Kings

Detroit Pistons vs. Sacramento Kings head to head

Detroit Pistons

40%

Sacramento Kings

60%

Apr 7, 2025

Detroit Pistons

0 : 0

Sacramento Kings

Dec 27, 2024

Sacramento Kings

113 : 114

Detroit Pistons

Feb 8, 2024

Sacramento Kings

120 : 133

Detroit Pistons

Jan 10, 2024

Detroit Pistons

110 : 131

Sacramento Kings

Dec 17, 2022

Detroit Pistons

113 : 122

Sacramento Kings

Nov 20, 2022

Sacramento Kings

137 : 129

Detroit Pistons