The surging Minnesota Timberwolves roll into Fiserv Forum riding high after their recent victory over the 76ers, with Anthony Edwards' explosive 37-point performance highlighting their offensive firepower against a Milwaukee squad that's shown defensive vulnerabilities all season.
The Bucks, coming off a narrow win against the Pelicans where Gary Trent Jr. dropped 29 points, will need to address their rebounding struggles and perimeter defense if they hope to contain Minnesota's three-point shooting that's connecting at nearly 38% this season.
Tuesday's showdown could hinge on tempo control and turnover battles, with the defensively-minded Timberwolves forcing almost 15 turnovers per game as they look to strengthen their playoff positioning against a Bucks team desperately needing home-court protection.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves prediction: who will win?
For today's Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves matchup, our predictive model gives the Wolves a 68% chance of defeating the Bucks.
Minnesota Timberwolves: 68% win probability
- Dominant defense (8531 points allowed, 5th best in the league)
- Perfect recent form (WWWWW, on a five-game winning streak)
- Superior scoring differential (+364 points on the season)
Milwaukee Bucks: 32% win probability
- Recent inconsistency (WWWWL, coming off a loss)
- Defensive vulnerability (8803 points allowed, middle of the pack)
- Road game disadvantage (5th in Eastern Conference vs 5th in Western Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves odds
Here are the latest odds for the NBA showdown between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the home team Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday, April 08.
Milwaukee Bucks | Minnesota Timberwolves | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | +158 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | -164 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves (46-32) roll into Milwaukee's Fiserv Forum riding high after their hard-fought 114-109 victory over the 76ers, where Anthony Edwards erupted for 37 points on efficient 57.1% shooting.
Meanwhile, the home-standing Bucks (44-34) are looking to build on their own momentum following a tight 111-107 win against the Pelicans, with Gary Trent Jr. leading the charge by dropping 29 points and grabbing 5 rebounds.
Both teams have been scoring at nearly identical clips this season – Minnesota averaging 114.0 points (16th in the NBA) while Milwaukee puts up 114.9 per game – but it's defensively where the T-Wolves have shown their teeth, surrendering just 109.4 points per contest (6th best) compared to the Bucks' 112.9.
The battle on the boards could prove decisive, with Minnesota's rebounding advantage (44.2 per game vs Milwaukee's 43.4) potentially creating extra scoring opportunities in what promises to be a tight contest.
Edwards has been absolutely fearless for Minnesota and should give Milwaukee's perimeter defenders fits, while the Bucks will counter with their efficient offense that's converting an impressive 48.5% from the field (5th in the league).
What makes this matchup particularly intriguing is the contrast between Minnesota's stingy defense against Milwaukee's efficient offense, creating a classic 'unstoppable force meets immovable object' scenario.
The T-Wolves' ability to force turnovers (14.8 per game) against a Bucks team that's been relatively careful with the ball (13.4 turnovers per game) might just be the difference-maker in this compelling Tuesday night showdown.
Look for Minnesota to try exploiting their slight defensive edge in a game that'll likely come down to execution in the closing minutes – I'm expecting a nail-biter that'll have fans at Fiserv Forum on the edge of their seats.
Key stats
- 1Minnesota is on a 5-game winning streak (WWWWW) while Milwaukee has won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWL)
- 2The Timberwolves (5th in West) and Bucks (5th in East) occupy identical positions in their respective conferences
- 3Milwaukee has scored more points (8961) than Minnesota (8895) despite playing the same number of games (78)
- 4Minnesota has a superior defensive record, conceding 8531 points compared to Milwaukee's 8803
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves form


Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves head to head
Milwaukee Bucks
83%
Minnesota Timberwolves
17%
Feb 13, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves
101 : 103
Milwaukee Bucks
Feb 24, 2024
Minnesota Timberwolves
107 : 112
Milwaukee Bucks
Feb 9, 2024
Milwaukee Bucks
105 : 129
Minnesota Timberwolves
Dec 31, 2022
Milwaukee Bucks
123 : 114
Minnesota Timberwolves
Nov 5, 2022
Minnesota Timberwolves
102 : 115
Milwaukee Bucks
Jul 13, 2022
Milwaukee Bucks
87 : 75
Minnesota Timberwolves
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