The Paycom Center is bracing for what promises to be an explosive rematch between Western Conference powerhouses after the Lakers' shocking 126-99 dismantling of the Thunder just two days ago.

While Los Angeles caught fire with an unsustainable 55% shooting from beyond the arc in their previous meeting, tonight's contest could hinge on whether Shai Gilgeous-Alexander can rediscover his way to the free-throw line and reassert his MVP candidacy against LeBron James and red-hot Luka Doncic.

With Oklahoma City sporting a dominant 34-6 home record and the Lakers finding chemistry with their new-look roster, all eyes will be on whether the Oklahoma City Thunder can protect home court against a dangerous Los Angeles Lakers squad that suddenly looks capable of playoff damage.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers prediction: who will win?

For today's Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers matchup, our predictive model gives the Thunder a 76.67% chance of defeating the Lakers.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 76.67% win probability

  • League-leading record (64-14, best in the Western Conference)
  • Defensive dominance (8383 points allowed, fewest in the Western Conference)
  • Positive momentum (3-2 in last five games with current 3-game win streak)

Los Angeles Lakers: 23.33% win probability

  • Road vulnerability (position #3 vs Thunder at #1 shows significant gap)
  • Defensive struggles (8747 points allowed, 364 more than Thunder)
  • Inconsistent performance (3-2 in last five games but facing the top seed)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers odds

Here are the current odds as the Los Angeles Lakers travel to face the Oklahoma City Thunder in a heated NBA matchup on Tuesday, April 08.

Oklahoma City ThunderLos Angeles Lakers
Moneyline-800 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)+660 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers preview

The Lakers and Thunder square off again at Paycom Center Tuesday night, just two days after LA shocked Oklahoma City with a dominant 126-99 road victory where they couldn't miss from downtown.

Sunday's beatdown saw the Lakers drill an incredible 22 three-pointers at a 55% clip, with Luka Doncic dropping 30 points while the normally free-throw-hunting Shai Gilgeous-Alexander oddly didn't attempt a single free throw despite averaging nearly 33 points this season.

Don't expect lightning to strike twice though — the Thunder boast the NBA's best home record at 34-6 and have covered the spread in over 65% of their games this year.

OKC's elite defense (ranked 1st in efficiency) completely collapsed last game, but with Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren supporting SGA, they'll be absolutely desperate to avoid back-to-back embarrassments on their home floor.

For the Lakers, their new Big 3 of LeBron, Luka, and Austin Reaves (who's maintained his 20+ PPG production despite Doncic's arrival) will try to prove Sunday wasn't a fluke.

The Thunder, still battling for playoff positioning and with SGA making his MVP case against Jokić, simply can't afford another letdown in front of their home crowd.

Vegas has installed OKC as heavy favorites (between -8.5 and -13.5 depending on the book), suggesting oddsmakers view Sunday's result as an aberration.

This potential playoff preview has all the makings of a statement game for both squads — LA trying to prove they're legitimate contenders with their new roster, while Oklahoma City aims to demonstrate they're still the Western Conference powerhouse their 64-14 record suggests.

Key stats

  • 1
    Thunder lead the Western Conference with a 64-14 record while Lakers sit at 3rd with a 48-30 record
  • 2
    OKC has scored 9360 points and allowed 8383, giving them the best point differential in the West (+977)
  • 3
    Lakers have won 3 of their last 5 games (WWLWW) compared to Thunder's similar 3-2 record (LLWWW)
  • 4
    Thunder are 16 games ahead of the Lakers in the standings, showing clear dominance throughout the season

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers form

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
Latest matches
L
L
W
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Apr 6, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers126:99Oklahoma City Thunder
Apr 5, 2025
Houston Rockets125:111Oklahoma City Thunder
Apr 3, 2025
Detroit Pistons103:119Oklahoma City Thunder
Apr 1, 2025
Chicago Bulls117:145Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 30, 2025
Indiana Pacers111:132Oklahoma City Thunder
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Apr 6, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder99:126Los Angeles Lakers
Apr 5, 2025
New Orleans Hornets108:124Los Angeles Lakers
Apr 4, 2025
Golden State Warriors123:116Los Angeles Lakers
Apr 1, 2025
Houston Rockets98:104Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 30, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies127:134Los Angeles Lakers

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers head to head

Oklahoma City Thunder

33%

Los Angeles Lakers

67%

Apr 6, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

99 : 126

Los Angeles Lakers

Nov 30, 2024

Los Angeles Lakers

93 : 101

Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 5, 2024

Los Angeles Lakers

116 : 104

Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 16, 2024

Los Angeles Lakers

112 : 105

Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 24, 2023

Oklahoma City Thunder

120 : 129

Los Angeles Lakers

Dec 1, 2023

Oklahoma City Thunder

133 : 110

Los Angeles Lakers