HomeNewsMavericks vs Lakers Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 4/9/2025

Mavericks vs Lakers Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 4/9/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers matchup, our predictive model gives the Mavs a 56.67% chance of defeating the Lakers.

Dallas Mavericks: 56.67% win probability

Home court advantage (Dallas has won 23 of their 39 home games this season)
Recent form improvement (recent form of LLWLW shows they've won 2 of their last 5 games)
Defensive efficiency (Dallas has allowed 9116 points through 79 games, fewer than Lakers' 8883 points allowed)

Los Angeles Lakers: 43.33% win probability

Inconsistent road performance (The Lakers have lost 18 of their 40 road games this season)
Defensive struggles (Lakers have allowed 8883 points in 79 games, ranking them 10th in the Western Conference)
Recent form issues (LWWLW shows inconsistency with alternating wins and losses)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers odds

Here are the latest odds for the NBA showdown between the Dallas Mavericks hosting the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday, April 09.

	Dallas Mavericks	Los Angeles Lakers
Moneyline	+152 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)	-170 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers preview

The sputtering Mavericks (38-41) host the Lakers (48-30) tonight at American Airlines Center in what could be a statement game for both Western Conference squads with playoff positioning on the line.

Dallas has dropped their last two games including an embarrassing 135-104 blowout against the Clippers, where Anthony Davis's 27-point effort wasn't nearly enough to keep them competitive.

The Lakers, despite riding a decent stretch with five wins in their last eight, are coming off a tough defeat to OKC and face the challenge of playing on zero days' rest — historically a tough spot for any team.

Recent history between these teams is split down the middle this season, though Dallas holds an impressive 7-3 advantage in their last ten matchups.

Keep an eye on LeBron James, who's been putting up his usual impressive numbers (24.5 PPG, 8.4 APG, 7.9 RPG), while Anthony Davis will surely have extra motivation facing his former team at home.

The injury report looms large for both squads — the Lakers are monitoring Luka Doncic (groin), LeBron (groin), and Austin Reaves (ankle), while Dallas has question marks surrounding Daniel Gafford's knee.

For the Lakers to snatch a road win, they'll need to leverage their superior defensive ratings, particularly their sixth-ranked mid-range defense and tenth-ranked three-point resistance.

The home crowd in Dallas might just provide the spark the Mavs need to bounce back, especially with the Lakers potentially feeling the fatigue of back-to-back games.

Key stats

1
Lakers (3rd in West) are 8 positions higher than Mavericks (10th in West)
2
Lakers have outscored Mavericks this season (8965 vs 9046 points)
3
Recent form shows Lakers at LWWLW while Mavericks struggling at LLWLW
4
Lakers have a better win percentage with 48-31 (.608) compared to Mavericks' 38-41 (.481)