The red-hot Orlando Magic bring their league-best defense and four-game winning streak to Indiana, where they'll face a Pacers squad that's quietly become one of the NBA's most dangerous teams with six straight victories.
While Paolo Banchero torched Indiana for 50 points in their previous meeting, the Pacers' home-court advantage and explosive offense (117.3 PPG) could neutralize Orlando's defensive prowess, especially with the Magic playing on the second night of a back-to-back.
Everything points to a fascinating contrast in styles when the Indiana Pacers host the Orlando Magic in what might be a playoff preview.
Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic matchup, our predictive model gives the Pacers a 64% chance of defeating the Magic.
Indiana Pacers: 64% win probability
- Superior offensive output (9383 points scored this season)
- Excellent recent form (5 consecutive wins - WWWWW)
- Higher league position (4th in Eastern Conference vs Magic's 7th)
Orlando Magic: 36% win probability
- Significantly lower scoring offense (8411 points - lowest among playoff teams)
- Weaker overall record (40-40 vs Pacers' 49-31)
- Scoring differential disadvantage (Orlando is +12 while Indiana is +189 for the season)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic odds
Here are the latest odds for the NBA showdown as the Indiana Pacers host the Orlando Magic on Friday, April 11.
| Indiana Pacers | Orlando Magic | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -300 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) | +265 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
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Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic preview
The red-hot Pacers host the surging Magic in what's shaping up to be a fascinating Eastern Conference showdown at Gainbridge Fieldhouse tonight.
After dismantling the Celtics by 20 points on Wednesday, Orlando's looking to extend their five-game road winning streak behind Franz Wagner, who's been on an absolute tear with 20+ points in five straight contests.
Indiana, meanwhile, has been quietly building momentum with five consecutive victories entering Thursday's clash with Cleveland, fueled by Tyrese Haliburton's efficient shooting and playmaking.
The Magic have had Indy's number this season, leading the series 2-1, with Paolo Banchero dropping a jaw-dropping 50 points in one of their earlier matchups.
Defense could be the difference-maker tonight – Orlando boasts the league's stingiest unit, holding opponents to just 105.3 points per game, while the Pacers prefer a faster-paced, higher-scoring approach.
Keep an eye on Pascal Siakam, who's been somewhat quiet lately but could be due for a breakout game after averaging 22 points in two meetings against Orlando this year.
The Pacers might be at a disadvantage playing their second game in as many nights, possibly leading coach Rick Carlisle to manage minutes for his key players.
If you love contrasting styles – Orlando's lockdown defense versus Indiana's high-octane offense – this Friday night matchup won't disappoint.
Key stats
- 1Indiana Pacers (4th in Eastern Conference) are on a five-game winning streak with recent form of WWWWW
- 2Orlando Magic (7th in Eastern Conference) are also hot with a 4-1 recent form (WWWWL)
- 3Pacers have a significantly better offense scoring 9383 points compared to Magic's 8411
- 4Despite their position difference, both teams have positive point differentials (Pacers +189, Magic +12)
Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic form
Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic head to head
Indiana Pacers
20%
Orlando Magic
80%
Apr 11, 2025
Indiana Pacers
0 : 0
Orlando Magic
Nov 14, 2024
Orlando Magic
94 : 90
Indiana Pacers
Nov 7, 2024
Indiana Pacers
118 : 111
Orlando Magic
Oct 28, 2024
Orlando Magic
119 : 115
Indiana Pacers
Mar 10, 2024
Orlando Magic
97 : 111
Indiana Pacers
Dec 24, 2023
Indiana Pacers
110 : 117
Orlando Magic
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