The Milwaukee Bucks head into Detroit riding a perfect 10-0 streak against the Pistons, with Giannis Antetokounmpo's triple-double form and the team's impressive 40-13 fourth-quarter rally against Minnesota suggesting they've found their rhythm at just the right time.
On the flip side, Detroit's remarkable season turnaround has hit a rough patch with losses in four of their last five games, leaving Cade Cunningham and company desperate to protect their playoff positioning despite key injuries potentially hampering both squads.
Friday's showdown at Little Caesars Arena could dramatically impact Eastern Conference seeding as the fifth-place Bucks (45-34) aim to maintain their two-game cushion over the home team Detroit Pistons (43-36) in what promises to be a physical, high-stakes matchup.
Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks matchup, our predictive model gives the Bucks a 75% chance of defeating the Pistons.
Milwaukee Bucks: 75% win probability
- Current hot form (5 wins in last 5 games - WWWWW)
- Superior offensive efficiency (9207 points scored across 80 games)
- Better defensive record (9017 points allowed compared to Detroit's 9050)
Detroit Pistons: 25% win probability
- Inconsistent recent performance (WLLWL in last 5 games)
- Lower position in Eastern Conference standings (6th vs Milwaukee's 5th)
- Fewer total wins (44 compared to Milwaukee's 46 despite playing same number of games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks odds
Here are the latest odds for the NBA matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and the home team Detroit Pistons on Friday, April 11.
| Detroit Pistons | Milwaukee Bucks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -220 (via bet365 US) | +188 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
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Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks preview
The red-hot Bucks roll into Detroit riding a five-game win streak, looking to extend their perfect 10-0 run against a Pistons squad that's finally found its footing after last season's dismal 14-win campaign.
Milwaukee's fourth-quarter heroics against Minnesota—a stunning 40-13 rally—showcased why they're still dangerous despite sitting fifth in the East.
The matchup features a fascinating contrast: Giannis fresh off a triple-double (23-13-10) against the Wolves versus Cade Cunningham, who dropped 35 points in Detroit's recent loss to Sacramento.
Detroit's remarkable turnaround has hit a rough patch with four losses in their last five games, and they'll need to tighten up a defense that's surrendering 113.5 points per game at home.
The Bucks' efficient ball movement and dominant rebounding (over eight offensive boards per game) could spell trouble for a Pistons team desperate to snap their 11-game losing streak against Milwaukee.
Both teams have injury concerns heading in—Giannis is questionable with illness while Detroit might be without Cunningham and Tobias Harris.
With Detroit playing at the fifth-fastest pace in the league and Milwaukee finding their offensive rhythm, shooting over 48% in their last three contests, this could develop into an entertaining, high-octane battle at Little Caesars Arena.
I'm expecting the Bucks' championship pedigree to shine through as they look to maintain their cushion in the playoff race, but this Pistons team is hungry and has nothing to lose.
Key stats
- 1The Bucks hold a higher position (5th) than the Pistons (6th) in the Eastern Conference standings with 46 wins compared to Detroit's 44
- 2Milwaukee is riding a 5-game winning streak (WWWWW) while Detroit shows inconsistency with their recent form (WLLWL)
- 3Both teams have positive point differentials - Bucks (+190) and Pistons (+169) - showing solid offensive and defensive balance
- 4The Pistons (44-36) and Bucks (46-34) are separated by just 2 wins after 80 games played, suggesting a potentially competitive matchup
Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks form
Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks head to head
Detroit Pistons
0%
Milwaukee Bucks
100%
Apr 11, 2025
Detroit Pistons
0 : 0
Milwaukee Bucks
Dec 4, 2024
Detroit Pistons
107 : 128
Milwaukee Bucks
Nov 14, 2024
Milwaukee Bucks
127 : 120
Detroit Pistons
Oct 7, 2024
Detroit Pistons
120 : 87
Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 23, 2024
Detroit Pistons
113 : 122
Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 20, 2024
Detroit Pistons
135 : 141
Milwaukee Bucks
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