The Ottawa Senators welcome the surging Montreal Canadiens to Canadian Tire Centre Friday night in what promises to be a clash of contrasting strengths - Ottawa's stingy defense allowing just 2.79 goals per game against Montreal's potent offense that's netted 20 goals during their six-game win streak.
With playoff implications hanging in the balance - the Canadiens desperately fighting to clinch while the Senators have already secured their wild card position - expect intensity from the opening faceoff as goaltenders Ullmark and Dobes could ultimately determine the outcome.
The battle between Nick Suzuki's high-flying Canadiens and Tim Stutzle's defensively sound Senators should provide plenty of fireworks as the home team looks to cool off the away team's red-hot momentum.
Ottawa Senators vs. Montreal Canadiens prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens matchup, our predictive model gives the Canadiens a 75% chance of defeating the Sens.
Montreal Canadiens: 75% win probability
- Currently on a five-game winning streak (Recent form: WWWWW)
- Strong offensive output with 236 goals scored this season (8th in Eastern Conference)
- Holding the final playoff spot in Eastern Conference with 87 points
Ottawa Senators: 25% win probability
- Inconsistent recent performance (Recent form: LWWWL)
- Defensive struggles allowing 220 goals this season
- Lower points total (90) despite playing same number of games as Montreal (78)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Ottawa Senators vs. Montreal Canadiens odds
Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup featuring the Montreal Canadiens visiting the Ottawa Senators at home this Friday, April 11.
Ottawa Senators | Montreal Canadiens | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -170 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | +146 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
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Ottawa Senators vs. Montreal Canadiens preview
The red-hot Montreal Canadiens roll into Canadian Tire Centre Friday night riding a six-game winning streak as they battle their division rivals, the Ottawa Senators, in what promises to be a classic Canadian showdown.
Montreal's dynamic duo of Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield has been lighting up the scoreboard all season with a combined 65 goals, powering an offense that's found the back of the net 20 times during their current win streak.
Ottawa, already playoff-bound as a wild card entry, counters with a smothering defense that's surrendered just six goals in their last four games, anchored by standout netminder Linus Ullmark (.911 save percentage) who's been nothing short of brilliant between the pipes.
While the Sens' offense hasn't exactly set the world on fire this season, Tim Stutzle and Drake Batherson have quietly combined for 43 goals and 91 assists, giving them enough firepower to strike when opponents least expect it.
This matchup presents a fascinating clash of styles – Montreal's high-flying offense against Ottawa's lockdown defense – with the Canadiens desperate to clinch their playoff spot and the Senators looking to build momentum for their postseason run.
Keep an eye on Montreal's defensive pairing of Lane Hutson and Mike Matheson, who've contributed an impressive 82 assists from the blue line this season, creating scoring chances with their pinpoint passing.
The Senators enter as favorites on home ice, but don't count out a hungry Canadiens squad that's playing their best hockey when it matters most.
Expect a playoff-like atmosphere at Canadian Tire Centre with both teams looking to make a statement in this late-season battle for provincial bragging rights.
Key stats
- 1Ottawa Senators (6th in Eastern Conference) have won 3 of their last 5 matches while Montreal Canadiens (8th) have won all 5 of their recent games
- 2Montreal Canadiens are on a perfect 5-game winning streak (WWWWW) heading into this matchup, showing superior recent form compared to Ottawa's mixed record (LWWWL)
- 3Despite being only 1 position apart in standings, Ottawa (90 points) leads Montreal (87 points) by just 3 points after 78 games played for both teams
- 4Both teams have similar goal production (Ottawa 224, Montreal 236) but Ottawa has significantly better defensive record with 220 goals against versus Montreal's 253
Ottawa Senators vs. Montreal Canadiens form


Ottawa Senators vs. Montreal Canadiens head to head
Ottawa Senators
50%
Montreal Canadiens
50%
Mar 18, 2025
Montreal Canadiens
6 : 3
Ottawa Senators
Feb 23, 2025
Ottawa Senators
2 : 5
Montreal Canadiens
Oct 12, 2024
Montreal Canadiens
4 : 1
Ottawa Senators
Oct 5, 2024
Ottawa Senators
4 : 2
Montreal Canadiens
Oct 1, 2024
Montreal Canadiens
3 : 4
Ottawa Senators
Apr 13, 2024
Ottawa Senators
5 : 4
Montreal Canadiens
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